Wednesday 22 November 2017

Promedio Móvil Bp 200 Días


BP p. l.c. Gráfico de Acciones


Noticias en tiempo real después de las horas previas al mercado


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BP se centra en la reestructuración de su cartera de negocios


Operaciones bursátiles de BP debajo de sus medias móviles de 50 días y 200 días


2017: Año volátil con sesgo a la baja


En 2017, el descenso de los precios del petróleo afectó a las ganancias de las empresas integradas de energía. Esto se reflejó debidamente en el comportamiento de las acciones de las empresas de energía. En el período de 12 meses terminado el 12 de enero de 2017, BP (BP) cayó un 21%.


Los pares de BP ExxonMobil (XOM) y Chevron (CVX) cayeron un 17% y un 22%, respectivamente. Royal Dutch Shell (RDS. A) cayó aún más bruscamente en un 37% en un período de 12 meses. Esto también afectó a la iShares Global Energy ETF (IXC), que ha


59% de exposición a acciones del sector energético integrado.


Agrandar el gráfico


Rendimiento de la acción de BP


En 2017, las acciones de BP estaban en una espiral descendente. Las acciones de BP, así como su media móvil de 50 días, rompieron por debajo de su promedio móvil de 200 días a finales de 2017. La situación ha persistido desde entonces debido a los menores precios del petróleo.


En octubre de 2017, las acciones cruzaron su media móvil de 50 días en previsión de sus resultados del 3T15. BP registró cifras mejores de las esperadas en el 3T15. Sin embargo, después de los resultados, el precio de las acciones de BP cayó nuevamente, rompiendo por debajo de su media móvil de 50 días. BP actualmente cotiza por debajo de sus medias móviles de 50 días y 200 días.


Ganancias de BP en 3T15 impactadas por los bajos precios del petróleo


BP registró una fuerte caída en las ganancias de $ 1,3 mil millones en el 3T14 a $ 46 millones en el 3T15. Esto se tradujo en un beneficio subyacente en el costo de reemplazo (URC) de $ 1,8 mil millones en el 3T15 comparado con $ 3 mil millones en el 3T14.


URC, una medida de principios contables no aceptada generalmente, se llega a hacer ciertos ajustes a los resultados reportados durante un período. Estos ajustes incluyen ganancias o pérdidas de tenencia de inventario, impactos netos favorables o desfavorables de partidas no operacionales y efectos contables de valor razonable netos de impuestos.


La caída en el EBIT de URC (ganancias antes de intereses e impuestos) se debió a una fuerte caída en las ganancias en la parte de arriba, parcialmente compensada por mayores ganancias del segmento de downstream. En base al URC-EBIT, las ganancias del segmento aguas arriba cayeron de $ 3.9 mil millones a $ 0.82 mil millones debido a la fuerte caída en los precios del petróleo.


El segmento de refino de BP registró un aumento de sus ganancias en el EBIT de URC de $ 1.500 millones en el 3T14 a $ 2.300 millones en el 3T15 debido a los mejores márgenes de refinación. BP informó las ganancias por acción de URC de $ 0.10 en el 3T15 comparado con $ 0.17 en el 3T14.


Conviértase en miembro de Market Realist hoy para disfrutar de un acceso completo


BP plc (LON: BP) Dada la Recomendación Media de & # 8220; Hold & # 8221; por analistas


Las acciones de BP plc (LON: BP) se han asignado una recomendación de consenso de & # 8220; Hold & # 8221; De las veintiséis corretajes que están cubriendo la acción, informes MarketBeat. Com. Tres analistas de investigación han calificado la acción con una calificación de venta, trece han asignado una calificación de retención y nueve han asignado una calificación de compra a la empresa. El promedio de 12 meses objetivo de precios entre los analistas que han cubierto las acciones en el último año es GBX 389,43 ($ 5,51).


Las acciones de BP plc (LON: BP) cotizaron un 1,51% durante el mediodía del viernes, alcanzando el nivel GBX 348,37. Se intercambiaron 36.637.372 acciones de la empresa. La capitalización de mercado de la acción es GBX 64.14 mil millones. BP plc tiene un mínimo de 12 meses de GBX 309.10 y un máximo de 12 meses de GBX 487.50. La media móvil de 50 días es GBX 348.17 y su promedio móvil de 200 días es GBX 356.13.


Varios analistas de renta variable han sopesado las acciones de BP. HSBC estableció un objetivo de precio de GBX 430 ($ 6.08) en acciones de BP plc y le dio a la compañía una compra & # 8222; En un reporte el jueves, 12 de noviembre. Oddo & # 038; Cie reafirmó un & # 8220; neutro & # 8221; Y estableció un objetivo de precio GBX 390 ($ 5.52) en las acciones de BP plc en un informe el lunes, 16 de noviembre. Barclays reafirmó un sobrepeso & # 8221; Y fijó un precio de GBX 600 ($ 8.49) en acciones de BP plc en un informe el miércoles, 18 de noviembre. Sanford C. Bernstein reafirmó un rendimiento superior & # 8221; Y fijó un objetivo de precio GBX 450 ($ 6.37) en acciones de BP plc en un informe el miércoles, 18 de noviembre. Por último, Credit Suisse reeditó una subperforma & # 8221; Y emitió un precio objetivo GBX 365 ($ 5.16) en acciones de BP plc en un informe el martes, 24 de noviembre.


En otras noticias de BP plc, Gilvary, Brian adquirió 95 acciones de la acción en una transacción que ocurrió el miércoles 10 de febrero. La acción fue comprada a un costo promedio de GBX 334 ($ 4.73) por acción, con un valor total de £ 317.30 ($ 448.92).


BP p. l.c. (LON: BP) es una empresa integrada de petróleo y gas. La Compañía provee a sus clientes con combustible para transporte, energía para calefacción y luz, lubricantes y productos petroquímicos utilizados para fabricar artículos cotidianos, incluyendo pinturas, ropa y envases.


Esta historia fue publicada originalmente por American Banking News (http://www. americanbankingnews. com) y es propiedad exclusiva de American Banking News. Si está leyendo este artículo en otro sitio web, significa que este artículo se copió ilegalmente y se volvió a publicar en este sitio web en violación de los derechos de autor de los Estados Unidos e Internacional. Puede ver la versión original de esta historia en http://www. americanbankingnews. com/2017/03/11/bp-plc-lonbp-given-average-recommendation-of-hold-by-analysts/


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Recibir Noticias y Calificaciones para BP plc Daily - Introduzca su dirección de correo electrónico a continuación para recibir un resumen conciso de las últimas noticias y puntuaciones de analistas de BP plc y empresas relacionadas con el boletín de noticias diario gratuito de MarketBeat. com.


S & # 038; P 500 por encima de 200 días de media móvil: una señal alcista?


¿El promedio móvil de S & amp; P 500 de 200 días ofrece alguna información?


La media móvil de 200 días de S & amp; P 500 es comúnmente usada para rastrear tendencias a largo plazo. Siendo todas las cosas iguales, los toros del mercado de valores prefieren que el S & amp; P 500 permanezca por encima del promedio móvil de 200 días. Los osos están más contentos cuando el precio cae y se mantiene por debajo de la media móvil de 200 días.


Como se muestra en la tabla de 2017 a continuación, el S & amp; P 500 ha impreso varios días diarios consecutivos por encima de su promedio móvil de 200 días (12 a partir del cierre 11/9).


Desde una perspectiva histórica, ¿los rallyes del mercado accionario típicamente fracasan o triunfan después de doce cierres consecutivos por encima de la media móvil de 200 días?


Vamos a ver en noviembre de 2017 & # 8230;


1990 & # 8211; El Rally Continuo


No hay demasiados casos históricos en los últimos 30 años que presentaron una caída significativa por debajo de la media móvil de 200 días (7% a 19%) seguida por un repunte por encima de la media móvil de 200 días. Sin embargo, un caso que se ajusta al perfil es 1990.


¿Qué sucedió después del duodécimo cierre consecutivo por encima de la media móvil de 200 días? Las existencias añadieron un 33% adicional entre el punto A y el punto B.


1998 & # 8211; El Rally Continuo


En 1998, el S & amp; P 500 rebajó su media móvil de 200 días, formó un doble fondo, y luego se recuperó por encima del promedio móvil de 200 días durante doce sesiones consecutivas, lo que es similar a lo que hemos visto en 2017.


¿Qué sucedió después del duodécimo cierre consecutivo en 1998? Las existencias añadieron un 25% adicional entre el punto A y el punto B.


Continúe leyendo en la siguiente página & # 8230;


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BP p. l.c. (BP) es -5% Lejos de 200 días de media móvil


Las 150 mejores acciones


Acciones con Death Cross


BP Plc (BP) Sobreponderación Reafirmada en Barclays


Barclays reeditó su calificación de sobreponderación de acciones de BP plc (LON: BP) en una nota de investigación emitida a los inversores el martes, informa ARN. Barclays tiene actualmente un objetivo de precio GBX 550 ($ 7.91) en las acciones de la compañía de exploración de petróleo y gas.


Las acciones de BP plc (LON: BP) se inauguraron el martes a las 355.90. El límite de mercado de acciones es GBX 65.530 millones. El promedio móvil de 50 días de la firma es GBX 346.59 y su promedio móvil de 200 días es GBX 356.70. BP plc tiene un mínimo de 12 meses de GBX 309.10 y un máximo de 12 meses de GBX 487.50.


Varias otras corredurías también pesaron recientemente en BP. Nomura reafirmó una calificación neutral y fijó un objetivo de precio GBX 350 (5,04 dólares) en acciones de BP plc en un informe el martes 2 de febrero. Sanford C. Bernstein reafirmó un rating de rendimiento superior y fijó un precio de referencia GBX 420 ($ 6.04) en acciones de BP plc en un informe el jueves 28 de enero. Grupo Santander reafirmó la calificación de hold y fijó un precio de referencia GBX 420 ($ 6.04) en acciones de BP plc en un informe el martes, 24 de noviembre. Societe Generale reafirmó una calificación de compra y fijó un objetivo de precio GBX 375 (5,40 dólares) en acciones de BP plc en un informe el miércoles 3 de febrero. Por último, el Deutsche Bank elevó su precio objetivo de las acciones de BP plc de GBX 445 a US $ 6,62 y dio a la compañía una calificación de compra en un informe el lunes. Tres analistas han calificado la acción con una calificación de venta, trece han emitido una calificación de retención y nueve han emitido una calificación de compra a las acciones de la compañía. La acción tiene una calificación promedio de Hold y un precio objetivo de consenso de GBX 390.68 ($ 5.62).


En otras noticias de BP plc, Gilvary, Brian adquirió 95 acciones de la acción en una transacción que ocurrió el miércoles 10 de febrero. La acción fue comprada a un costo promedio de GBX 334 ($ 4.81) por acción, con un valor total de £ 317.30 ($ 456.61).


BP p. l.c. (LON: BP) es una empresa integrada de petróleo y gas. La Compañía provee a sus clientes con combustible para transporte, energía para calefacción y luz, lubricantes y productos petroquímicos utilizados para fabricar artículos de uso cotidiano, incluyendo pinturas, ropa y envases.


Frustrado con su corredor? ¿Está cansado de pagar altas tarifas? ¿Siente que está siendo estafado por su corredor de bolsa? Es tiempo de un cambio. Descubra qué tipo de corretaje es mejor para su estilo de negociación personal en el Centro de Brokers de InvestorPlace. Compare los corredores de un vistazo en el Centro de Brokers InvestorPlace (haga clic aquí).


Recibir Noticias y Calificaciones para BP plc Daily - Introduzca su dirección de correo electrónico a continuación para recibir un resumen conciso de las últimas noticias y puntuaciones de los analistas de BP plc y empresas relacionadas con el boletín de noticias diario gratuito de MarketBeat. com.


& Laquo; Anterior IBI Group Inc (IBG) Actualizado a & # 8220; Comprar & # 8221; por Laurentian


En una actualización de la calificación analista de las acciones de miércoles de BP PLC (LON: BP) tuvo su calificación reiterada por los analistas de Nomura.


El corredor dijo que ahora ha establecido un & # 8216; Neutral & # 8217; Sobre las acciones de BP PLC con un precio objetivo de 350. El precio objetivo de acuerdo con el corredor muestra una posible disminución de -2,78% del precio actual de las acciones de 360.


Durante los últimos doce meses, el precio de las acciones de BP PLC ha disminuido de 418,16 a 360, cambiando en -13,91%.


El promedio móvil de 50 días de las compañías es 346.59 y su promedio móvil de 200 días es 356.7. Las 52 semanas de alta de las acciones de BP PLC han alcanzado un máximo de 487,5, mientras que el mínimo de 52 semanas para las acciones de la compañía es de 309,1.


BP PLC tiene 18.412.392.000 acciones que actualmente están en circulación con un precio de 360 ​​calculando la capitalización bursátil de BP PLC a 66.28 GBp.


BP p. l.c. (BP) es una empresa integrada de petróleo y gas. La Compañía provee a sus clientes con combustible para transporte, energía para calefacción y luz, lubricantes y productos petroquímicos utilizados para fabricar artículos cotidianos, incluyendo pinturas, ropa y envases. La Compañía opera en tres segmentos de negocio: Upstream, Downstream y Rosneft. Las actividades del segmento Upstream incluyen exploración de petróleo y gas natural, desarrollo y producción de campo; El transporte, almacenamiento y procesamiento intermedios, y la comercialización y comercialización de gas natural, incluido el gas natural licuado (GNL), junto con los líquidos de energía y de gas natural (LGN). Las actividades del segmento de Downstream de la Compañía incluyen refinación, fabricación, comercialización, transporte y suministro y comercialización de petróleo crudo, petróleo, productos petroquímicos y servicios relacionados a clientes al por mayor y minoristas. El interés de BP en Rosneft, una compañía petrolera en Rusia, se reporta como un segmento operativo separado.


Reciba noticias y calificaciones vía correo electrónico - Ingrese su dirección de correo electrónico a continuación para recibir un resumen diario conciso de las últimas noticias y calificaciones de los analistas con el boletín de noticias diario GRATIS de MarketBeat. com.


Noticias en tiempo real después de las horas previas al mercado


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Posible tendencia bajista dentro del patrón de vela detectado por BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (NYSE: BPT)


Publicado el Mon, 02/01/2017 - 5:08 pm


El escáner de candelabro de SmarTrend ha detectado un posible patrón bajista dentro de las velas del día en BP Prudhoe Bay Trust (NYSE: BPT) basado en la acción de precios en las acciones de la compañía. La gama de precios de hoy de $ 24.77 y $ 26.65 está dentro de ayer de alto y de bajo del día. Esta acción comercial a menudo significa indecisión por los toros y osos para impulsar los precios más altos o más bajos ya menudo implica un posible cambio en la tendencia. Los propietarios de BP Prudhoe Bay Trust puede querer considerar una posible cobertura en caso de que se produzca un retroceso. Busque confirmación en los próximos días de negociación.


Durante el año pasado, BP Prudhoe Bay Trust ha negociado en un rango de $ 18.25 a $ 82.23 y ahora está en $ 24.85, 36% por encima de ese mínimo. En la semana pasada, el promedio móvil de 200 días (MA) ha bajado un 2,1%, mientras que el MA de 50 días ha disminuido un 5%.


Hay un potencial de 60,9% para las acciones de BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust basado en un precio actual de $ 24.85 y un objetivo promedio de analistas de precio de $ 40.00. El stock debería encontrarse con una resistencia inicial en su promedio móvil de 50 días (MA) de $ 26.62 y la resistencia posterior en su MA de 200 días de $ 46.82.


BP Prudhoe Bay Trust fue establecido por la Standard Oil Company y confiado al Bank of New York. El Fideicomiso recibe un porcentaje por barril de regalías de la media de la producción diaria neta de petróleo y condensado por trimestre de los intereses de trabajo de British Petroleum en el Prudhoe Bay Field en la vertiente norte de Alaska.


SmarTrend está monitoreando el reciente cambio de impulso en BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust. Por favor refiérase a nuestro Resumen de la Compañía para los resultados de nuestros indicadores técnicos propietarios que han estado escaneando acciones de BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust en busca de un posible cambio de tendencia.


Palabras clave: bajista b


Las alertas de tendencia en tiempo real le mantendrán informado sobre el mercado e identificarán cuándo una acción está subiendo o bajando. Obtenga acceso a listas de seguimiento personalizadas, ideas comerciales y llamadas por la mañana.


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BP Prudhoe Bay Trust de regalías hasta 15,5% desde SmarTrend Uptrend Call (BPT)


Escrito el Jue, 03/03/2017 - 11:50 am


SmarTrend identificó una tendencia alcista para BP Prudhoe Bay Trust (NYSE: BPT) el 28 de enero de 2017 a $ 24.16. En aproximadamente 1 mes, BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust ha regresado 15.48% a partir del precio reciente de hoy de $ 27.90.


En las últimas 52 semanas, los precios de las acciones de BP Prudhoe Bay Trust han sido entre corchetes por un mínimo de $ 18.25 y un máximo de $ 77.92 y ahora están en $ 27.90, 53% por encima de ese bajo precio. En los últimos cinco días de mercado, el promedio móvil de 200 días (MA) ha bajado un 1,5% mientras que el MA de 50 días ha avanzado un 0,6%.


BP Prudhoe Bay Trust fue establecido por la Standard Oil Company y confiado al Bank of New York. El Fideicomiso recibe un porcentaje por barril de regalías de la media de la producción diaria neta de petróleo y condensado por trimestre de los intereses de trabajo de British Petroleum en el Prudhoe Bay Field en la vertiente norte de Alaska.


SmarTrend continuará analizando estos promedios móviles y una serie de otros indicadores propietarios para cualquier cambio en la trayectoria de las acciones de BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust.


Inicie sesión y agregue BP Prudhoe Bay Trust de regalías (BPT) a su lista de seguimiento hoy para que pueda recibir una alerta en tiempo real cuando las acciones están a punto de cambiar la tendencia.


Palabras claves: bp prudhoe


Las alertas de tendencia en tiempo real le mantendrán informado sobre el mercado e identificarán cuándo una acción está subiendo o bajando. Obtenga acceso a listas de seguimiento personalizadas, ideas comerciales y llamadas por la mañana.


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Copyright 2017 Stock Market Tendencias y Análisis Técnico por Comtex News Network, Inc.


Reporte del analista: BP plc (ADR)


Las acciones de BP plc (NYSE: BP) tienen una calificación promedio de 2,33 mientras que 4 analistas han recomendado las acciones como "BUY", 1 recomendada como "OUTPERFORM" y 6 recomendadas como "HOLD". La calificación se encuentra en una escala del 1 al 5, donde 1 representa la compra fuerte y 5 stands para la venta.


La estimación media de la compañía para las ventas para el trimestre corriente que termina el 16 de marzo es 36.21B por 4 analistas. La estimación de las medias de las ventas para el año que finaliza el 16 de diciembre es 172.16B por 5 analistas.


El objetivo de precio medio de las acciones de BP plc (ADR) (NYSE: BP) es de 34,72, mientras que el objetivo de precio más alto sugerido por los analistas es 43,00 y el objetivo de precio bajo es 27,00. El objetivo de precio medio se calcula teniendo en cuenta el consenso de 10 firmas de corretaje.


La estimación promedio de EPS para el trimestre fiscal actual de BP plc (ADR) (NYSE: BP) se sitúa en -0,04 mientras que la EPS para el año en curso se fija en 1,48 por 11 analistas.


La estimación de EPS de un año siguiente se fija en 2.89 por 10 analistas mientras que hace un año los analistas sugirieron el EPS de la compañía en 1.48. Los analistas también proyectaron el crecimiento a largo plazo de la compañía en un 8,30% para los próximos cinco años.


En su último trimestre terminado el 31 de diciembre de 2017, BP plc (ADR) (NYSE: BP) reportó ganancias de $ 0.06. Las ganancias anunciadas no alcanzaron el consenso del analista en - $ 0.06 con el factor sorpresa de -50.00%. En materia de sorpresas de ganancias, el término "efecto cucaracha" a menudo está implícito. El efecto de la cucaracha es una teoría del mercado que sugiere que cuando una compañía revela malas noticias al público, puede haber muchos más acontecimientos negativos relacionados que todavía no se han revelado. En el caso de las sorpresas de ganancias, si una empresa está sugiriendo una sorpresa de ganancias negativas significa que hay más por venir.


BP plc (ADR) (NYSE: BP) cotizó -1.77% durante la cotización el lunes, llegando a $ 29.92. La acción tenía un volumen de negociación de 8,82 millones de acciones. La firma tiene un promedio móvil de 50 días de $ 30.37 y un promedio móvil de 200 días de $ 32.95. La acción tiene un tope de mercado de $ 91.90B. BP plc (ADR) (NYSE: BP) ha caído -15,84% durante los últimos 3 meses. En lo que va de año, el rendimiento de las acciones se sitúa en -4,29%. El 5 de mayo de 2017, las acciones registraron un máximo de un año a 43,85 dólares y el mínimo de un año se vio el 20 de enero de 2017.


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MÁS NOTICIAS


&dupdo; Copyright 2017 - OBSERVADOR DE CWRU


S & # 038; P 500 por encima de 200 días de media móvil: una señal alcista?


El video bursátil de esta semana tiene una mirada más amplia en el perfil de riesgo-recompensa del mercado.


2010 & # 8211; El Rally Continuo


Después de la corrección "flash crash" de 2010, el S & amp; P 500 no pudo publicar doce cierres diarios consecutivos por encima de la media móvil de 200 días hasta mediados de septiembre.


¿Qué pasó después del duodécimo cierre consecutivo en 2010? Las existencias añadieron un 17% adicional entre el punto A y el punto B.


2011 & # 8211; El Rally Continuo


El año calendario 2011 vio numerosos eventos que fueron similares a 2017; Un período de consolidación, una fuerte caída, un doble fondo, y un retorno del mercado de valores por encima de la media móvil de 200 días. El duodécimo cierre diario consecutivo por encima de los 200 días no ocurrió hasta principios de 2012.


¿Qué pasó después del duodécimo cierre consecutivo en 2012? Las existencias añadieron un 8% adicional entre el punto A y el punto B.


¿Cómo podemos usar esto?


¿La historia nos dice qué va a suceder a fines de 2017 / principios de 2017? No, la historia sólo puede hablar de probabilidades. En cada uno de los casos históricos anteriores, una vez que el S & amp; P 500 registró doce cierres diarios consecutivos por encima de la media móvil de 200 días, el rally continuó y agregó ganancias significativas.


1987 tiene algunas similitudes y podría ser incluido en este análisis. Hemos decidido omitirlo por dos razones: (1) el S & amp; P 500 se mantuvo por debajo de su media móvil de 200 días durante siete meses, lo que es bastante diferente a 2017 (dos meses), y (2) la pendiente negativa de la 200 días fue significativamente más pronunciada (más bajista) en 1987.


Gracias por leer.


Autor o sus fondos tienen una posición larga en valores relacionados. Las opiniones expresadas en este documento son únicamente las del autor y no representan en modo alguno las opiniones u opiniones de ninguna otra persona o entidad.


S & P 500 se rompe a través de 200 días de media móvil


El S & amp; P 500 ha alcanzado su promedio móvil de 200 días por cuarta vez en los últimos quince días de negociación, el 27 de mayo, el 3 de junio, y de nuevo el lunes y el día de ayer. Hoy debe ver el S & amp; P 500 salir a la parte superior.


El DJIA en 10.336, está poniendo en otra buena actuación, hasta 145 puntos para superar el máximo del lunes de 10.328.


Sin embargo, la media móvil de 500 días de S & P 500 es un objetivo móvil.


Como el mercado se ha recuperado, el día 200 sigue aumentando más. Hace unos días eran 1.105.


Actualmente (1:30 pm) tenemos:


Índice S & amp; P 500: 1,107.11


200 Día MA: 1,108.26


Mi predicción es que el número de mayo de la producción industrial de mayo de hoy catapultará a los S & amp; P a través de este nivel, consideran que muchos técnicos y comerciantes son un techo clave, y luego mucho más alto.


El consenso para el número IP de mayo es 1,0% (Bloomberg) con un rango de 0,6% a 1,6%.


Mi fondo de la investigación me ha demostrado que la actividad industrial está viva y está haciendo muy bien estado-lado.


Esperamos que el número IP de mayo tenga un identificador de "2" con un aumento en la utilización de capacidad al nivel de 75%.


Ya hemos visto una buena indicación de la fabricación canadiense está creciendo - las ventas de abril, es cierto que un número de crisis pre-euro, subieron un 0,2% y han sido constantemente durante todo el año. La utilización de la capacidad subió hasta el 74,2% en el primer trimestre del 71,3%.


Menores costos de mano de obra, menores costos de energía y un apalancamiento operativo decente, combinados con buenos precios de exportación de EE. UU., van a liderar un resurgimiento liderado por la industria en la economía estadounidense que reemplaza a la débil situación del consumidor.


Los precios de exportación de mayo anunciados ayer, subieron un 0,7% y un aumento de 5,8% año tras año. Esto es indicativo de que el crecimiento de la producción industrial de mayo anunciado hoy será mejor de lo esperado.


Todo el mundo espera que el notorio mes de mayo se revele en preocupantes datos económicos, desde Estados Unidos, Europa y China.


Adquirir la amenaza a Europa de un incumplimiento de la deuda soberana griega, que se pronosticó como una fuerte posibilidad hace varios meses, y ahora la gente está discutiendo abiertamente como una conclusión inevitable.


Es cierto que el mercado inmobiliario de Estados Unidos es débil, y el número de permisos de construcción de mayo debería ser pésimo, al igual que el índice de confianza de la Asociación Nacional de Constructores de Viviendas, que era sólo 17, frente a 22 en abril.


Pero esto es una casa muerta (que quiero decir caballo), que ha sido golpeado hasta la muerte y ya no es relevante para las principales empresas DJIA que no venden casas y hacer más de sus ventas en Asia y Europa en lugar de los EE. UU.


Esto lleva a esta conclusión:


Los mercados han descontado la mayoría de las preocupaciones y requerirían un acontecimiento mayor, imprevisto para ir más bajo.


No veo uno (he predicho el incumplimiento griego, el colapso del euro y así sucesivamente, así que no puedo considerar estos "nuevos").


La manera de jugar este mercado es a través de ETFs y futuros del índice. En particular, hemos estado comprando el XFN (Canadian Financials Capped Index).


Creemos que las acciones de los bancos canadienses son una ganga y comenzaron a comprarlas el lunes.


Las acciones de los bancos canadienses han sido golpeadas debido a los temores de "Fin Reg" en los EE. UU., y la posibilidad de un impuesto sobre el capital bancario que sale de las conversaciones de Basilea. Sentimos que el primero ha sido descontado por los bancos. Este último resultó ser un non-starter y derrotado con éxito por el gobierno federal conservador, anfitriones al G-20 y al G-8 más adelante este mes.


Aquí está nuestra lista de compra de banco canadiense:


Banco de Montreal (NYSE: BMO)


CIBC (NYSE: CM)


Royal Bank (NYSE: RY)


IShares S & amp; P / TSX Capped Fondo del Índice Financiero (XFN)


CF Industries (NYSE: CF)


Olin (NYSE: OLN)


Plum Creek Timber REIT (NYSE: PCL)


S & P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY)


IShares S & amp; P 500 Index Fund CAD-Hedged [XSP. TO]


Las compras en el sector industrial canadiense de pequeña capitalización incluyen:


Fondo de Ingresos Canexus [CUS. UN]


Cascades Inc. [CAS]


Noranda Income Fund [NIF. UN]


Post Script: El S & amp; P 500 (SPX) cerró en 1,115.25, muy por encima de su MA de 200 días.


Divulgación: Autor es largo todos los valores mencionados


Cobertura BP plc (BP) iniciada por analistas en Nomura


Nomura asumió la cobertura de acciones de BP plc (NYSE: BP) en una nota emitida a los inversores el viernes, informa The Fly. La firma estableció un & # 8220; neutro & # 8221; En la acción de la compañía de exploración de petróleo y gas.


Varios otros analistas de investigación también han pesado en el stock. Argus bajó su precio objetivo en acciones de BP plc de $ 42.00 a $ 41.00 y estableció un & # 8220; De la calificación en un informe de investigación el viernes 27 de noviembre. Scotiabank reeditó un desempeño del sector & # 8221; Y fijó un precio objetivo de $ 41.00 (antes de $ 46.00) sobre las acciones de BP plc en una nota de investigación el jueves 3 de diciembre. Zacks Investment Research cortó BP plc desde una posición # 8221; A una venta fuerte & # 8221; En un informe el lunes 4 de enero. Howard Weil elevó BP plc de un sector & # 8222; A una acción de enfoque # 8221; Y fijó un objetivo del precio de $ 42.00 para la compañía en una nota de la investigación el lunes, el 14 de diciembre. Finalmente, Kepler Capital Markets reafirmó una venta & # 8221; Sobre acciones de BP plc en un informe el jueves, 10 de marzo. Cuatro analistas de inversión han calificado la acción con una calificación de venta, trece han dado una calificación de retención, doce han emitido una calificación de compra y dos han dado una fuerte calificación de compra a la acción. La compañía tiene actualmente una calificación de consenso de Hold & # 8222; Y una meta de precio promedio de $ 38.02.


Varios hedge funds e inversionistas institucionales han agregado o reducido sus participaciones en la compañía. Norges Bank adquirió una nueva posición en BP plc durante el cuarto trimestre valorado en aproximadamente $ 12,118,000. Edmond DE Rothschild Asset Management Luxemburgo adquirió una nueva participación en acciones de BP plc durante el cuarto trimestre por valor de $ 2,782,000. Sheaff Brock Investment Advisors LLC adquirió una nueva participación en acciones de BP plc durante el cuarto trimestre por valor de $ 2,340,000. Castleark Management LLC elevó su participación en acciones de BP plc en un 56,0% en el cuarto trimestre. Castleark Management LLC posee ahora 256.980 acciones de la compañía de exploración de petróleo y gas por $ 8,033,000 después de comprar 92,300 acciones adicionales durante el período. Por último, FDx Advisors Inc. aumentó su participación en acciones de BP plc en un 141,9% en el cuarto trimestre. FDx Advisors Inc. ahora posee 82.368 acciones de la compañía de exploración de petróleo y gas por $ 2,575,000 después de comprar 48,322 acciones adicionales durante el período.


Las acciones de BP plc (NYSE: BP) se abrieron a las 31.54 del viernes. La cuota de mercado de la acción es de $ 96,79 mil millones. La firma tiene un precio promedio móvil de 50 días de 29,95 dólares y un precio promedio móvil de 200 días de 31,89 dólares. BP plc tiene un mínimo de 12 meses de 27,01 dólares y un máximo de 12 meses de 43,85 dólares.


La firma también anunció recientemente un dividendo trimestral, que se pagará el jueves, 24 de marzo. Los accionistas registrados el viernes 12 de febrero recibirán un dividendo de 0,60 dólares por acción. La fecha ex-dividendo es el miércoles 10 de febrero. Esto representa un dividendo anualizado de 2,40 dólares y un rendimiento de dividendos del 7,61%.


BP p. l.c. (NYSE: BP) es una compañía integrada de petróleo y gas. La Compañía provee a sus clientes con combustible para transporte, energía para calefacción y luz, lubricantes y productos petroquímicos utilizados para fabricar artículos cotidianos, incluyendo pinturas, ropa y envases.


Frustrado con su corredor? ¿Está cansado de pagar altas tarifas? ¿Siente que está siendo estafado por su corredor de bolsa? Es tiempo de un cambio. Descubra qué tipo de corretaje es mejor para su estilo de negociación personal en el Centro de Brokers InvestorPlace. Compare los corredores de un vistazo en el Centro de Brokers InvestorPlace (haga clic aquí).


Recibir Noticias y Calificaciones para BP plc Daily - Introduzca su dirección de correo electrónico a continuación para recibir un resumen conciso de las últimas noticias y puntuaciones de analistas de BP plc y empresas relacionadas con el boletín de noticias diario gratuito de MarketBeat. com.


& Laquo; Medley Management Inc (MDLY) publica resultados trimestrales de ganancias, expectativas de Misses Por $ 0.04 EPS


Siguiente & raquo; Shire PLC (SHP) obtiene una calificación de rendimiento superior de Sanford C. Bernstein


BP plc (BP) Acciones Compradas por South Dakota Investment Council


El Consejo de Inversiones de Dakota del Sur aumentó su posición en BP plc (NYSE: BP) en un 3,1% durante el cuarto trimestre, según su más reciente formulario 13F presentado ante la SEC. El fondo poseía 1,338,518 acciones de la compañía de exploración de petróleo y gas después de comprar 40,870 acciones adicionales durante el período. Las inversiones de South Dakota Investment Council en BP plc valían 41.842.000 dólares desde su presentación más reciente ante la SEC.


Varios otros fondos de cobertura también han comprado y vendido acciones de BP. Leith Wheeler Investment Counsel adquirió una nueva participación en BP plc durante el cuarto trimestre valuada en aproximadamente $ 367,000. Cobiz Investment Management LLC aumentó su participación en BP plc un 20,1% en el cuarto trimestre. Cobiz Investment Management LLC ahora posee 8,958 acciones de las acciones de la compañía de exploración de petróleo y gas valoradas en 280.000 dólares después de comprar 1.499 acciones adicionales durante el período. Destination Wealth Management adquirió una nueva participación en BP plc durante el cuarto trimestre valuada en aproximadamente $ 283,000. Atlas Brown Inc. aumentó su participación en BP plc un 15,2% en el cuarto trimestre. Atlas Brown Inc. ahora posee 9,729 acciones de las acciones de la compañía de exploración de petróleo y gas valoradas en 298.000 dólares después de comprar otras 1.285 acciones durante el período. Por último, 1ST Source Bank aumentó su participación en BP plc un 1,2% en el cuarto trimestre. 1ST Source Bank ahora posee 9,827 acciones de la compañía de exploración de petróleo y gas valoradas en $ 307,000 después de comprar 120 acciones adicionales durante el período.


Las acciones de BP plc (NYSE: BP) se inauguraron el lunes a 31.33. The stock has a 50 day moving average price of $29.93 and a 200-day moving average price of $31.87. BP plc has a one year low of $27.01 and a one year high of $43.85. The company’s market capitalization is $96.14 billion.


The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, March 24th. Shareholders of record on Friday, February 12th will be given a $0.60 dividend. This represents a $2.40 annualized dividend and a yield of 7.66%. The ex-dividend date is Wednesday, February 10th.


Several equities analysts have recently weighed in on BP shares. Kepler Capital Markets reaffirmed a “sell” rating on shares of BP plc in a research note on Thursday, March 10th. Howard Weil raised BP plc from a “sector perform” rating to a “focus stock” rating and set a $42.00 price objective on the stock in a research note on Monday, December 14th. Vetr raised BP plc from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating and set a $30.63 price objective on the stock in a research note on Tuesday, February 23rd. Credit Agricole reaffirmed a “buy” rating on shares of BP plc in a research note on Tuesday, December 15th. Finally, Societe Generale raised BP plc from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a research note on Friday, January 15th. Four research analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, thirteen have issued a hold rating, twelve have issued a buy rating and two have assigned a strong buy rating to the company’s stock. The stock presently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $37.66.


BP p. l.c. (NYSE:BP ) is an integrated oil and gas company. The Company provides its customers with fuel for transportation, energy for heat and light, lubricants and the petrochemicals products used to make everyday items, including paints, clothes and packaging.


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Foreword from dshort . I wrote a favorable review of The Ivy Portfolio in April 2009 on my legacy dshort. com website, and I've been featuring a monthly update on this investing strategy ever since.


We've been discussing sources of performance decay, degrees of freedom, and the implied statistical significance of systematic trading strategies, so I was pleased when some recent articles triggered an idea for a related case study.


Albert Einstein is oft credited with suggesting that problems should be made 'as simple as possible, but not simpler'. In fact, a poster with this very phrase and a picture of Einstein's unmistakable visage adorned the inside of my bedroom door for much of my adolescence. However, readers might be interested to learn that this particular phrase has never been directly attributed to Einstein in any of his published works. Rather, it's surmised that this statement is actually a distilled version of a slightly less accessible quotation from a lecture entitled, "On the Method of Theoretical Physics" delivered at Oxford in 1933. The actual quote from Einstein was, " It can scarcely be denied that the supreme goal of all theory is to make the irreducible basic elements as simple and as few as possible without having to surrender the adequate representation of a single datum of experience. "


In any event, the distillation is a useful heuristic, and nowhere more so than in the field of empirical finance. To wit, it is attractive to think that an already simple approach, such as Mebane Faber's 'Ivy Portfolio,' a 5-asset, 10-month moving average methodology, which requires monthly attention as originally proposed, might be equally effective with annual rebalancing. For those who aren't already acquainted with it, Faber's Ivy Portfolio approach was first proposed in a paper entitled "A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation" in 2007. It has been updated several times since including a recent update in early 2017 which extended the results through 2012. I'm not ashamed to admit that this paper was a primary catalyst for our own interest in quantitative approaches to asset allocation.


The mechanics of Faber's approach are quite simple. First, compose a diversified portfolio from each of the major asset classes held in equal weight: bonds, U. S. stocks, international stocks, real estate, and commodities. Next compute a moving average (MA) of closing prices over the prior 10 months for each asset. Observe the portfolio at the end of each month, and where an asset closes out the month below the level of its moving average, sell the asset and hold cash, repurchasing only when it closes back above its moving average at the end of any subsequent month.


Our analysis will attempt to answer several questions:


Is it possible to make this approach even simpler by only rebalancing the portfolio every 12 months rather than at the end of every month?


What can we discover by backtesting a strategy which only trades the portfolio on the last trading day of the year?


If this backtest did yield results that were comparable to the monthly approach, how statistically significant is this result?


How might we improve our understanding of the true distribution of risk and return for an annually rebalanced strategy relative to a monthly version?


Before diving into our quantitative analysis, please recall that the cornerstone of robust system development is statistical significance. Furthermore, statistical significance is largely a function of the number of observations. It's difficult to achieve statistical significance with only a few trades, as each trade constitutes one observation. As a result, an annually traded approach starts out with a large hurdle to overcome, which is that we are only able to generate one observation per year per instrument. For example, using just the original Ivy Portfolio's 5 asset classes – US stocks, EAFE stocks, US real estate, US Treasuries and commodities, if we have 40 years of data we will have about 40*5 = 200 observations.


Granted, 40 years of time series data is meaningful because it covers several secular market regimes, such as the 1970s stagflation, the 2000 tech bubble, the emerging market and commodity boom of the mid 'naughts, and the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. Even so, 200 total observations is not enough to generate meaningful statistical confidence, as we will demonstrate below.


To answer the questions we raised above, we ran several tests. Before we explain the tests however, note that we altered the original Ivy 5 concept in some subtle ways:


We added emerging market equities (EEM), Japanese equities (EWJ), gold (GLD), international real estate (RWX) and long-duration Treasuries (TLT) to the original 5 asset universe. The broader universe generated more observations, and allowed us to test whether the parameters specified in the originally specified Ivy Portfolio approach were optimized to work on just those 5 assets. or whether the rules are more universally applicable.


We used daily data for our tests rather than monthly data. As a result, our tests only go back to 1995 because daily data for all of the indexes was unavailable prior to that time. However, daily data allows us to test trading on each of the 252 trading days of the calendar year, which multiplies our number of observations by over 250 times.


We used the daily equivalent of the monthly moving averages applied in the original report. For example, rather than using a 12 month moving average, we used a 252 day MA. Any performance deviations due to our use of daily vs. monthly moving average calculations are statistically immaterial to the analysis.


We tested both the 200 day (


10 month) and the 252 day (


12 month) moving averages as filters to see if there was a material difference in results by varying the length of the moving average


We approached our analysis from three directions. First, we ran tests using a 252 day (


12 month) moving average rule with annual rebalancing, but where the annual rebalance occurs in months other than December. We also compared each of the annually rebalanced systems to results from a system that is rebalanced at the end of every month, and another system that is observed for rebalancing every day. Next we performed the same analyses, but using a 200 day (


10 month) moving average filter instead of a 252 day MA filter.


Note that we imposed onerous all-in transaction costs of 100 bps for annual rebalancing, 150 bps for monthly rebalancing, and 200 bps for daily rebalancing. The original study imposed 95 bps for annual and 135 bps for monthly trading.


Figures 1. and 2. show the dispersion of performance results for these moving average systems for rebalances that occur on the last trading day of each calendar month. In other words, the results for January assume annual rebalancing on the last trading day of January in each calendar year.


The red bars in the charts show the average results for annually rebalanced models across all of the months in the calendar year. The green bar shows the results of the traditional monthly rebalanced system, and the orange bar demonstrates the performance of a system that is rebalanced daily. For those who aren't familiar with MAR, it is simply the return divided by the maximum drawdown.


Figure 1. Performance results for 252 day moving average system, annual rebalancing at the end of each calendar month


Data source: Bloomberg


Figure 2. Performance results for 200day moving average system, annual rebalancing at the end of each calendar month


Data source: Bloomberg


First, note that the 252 day (


12 month) and 200 day (


10 month) versions deliver statistically indistinguishable results on all relevant metrics. So we can safely assert that the 12 month MA used in the original report is relatively robust. However, the validations end there.


Recall that we penalized annually rebalanced models by 1% per year, the monthly rebalanced system by 1.5% per year, and the daily observed system by 2% per year. To our thinking, the most relevant comparisons are between red and green bars, because they illustrate the average results of all the annually rebalanced systems, and the monthly system, respectively. It's clear from the charts that results from the monthly rebalanced system are demonstrably better in every performance metric than the average of all annually rebalanced systems. Indeed, the monthly version is better than even the best annually rebalanced systems in most respects.


Results for annually systems rebalanced in certain months – June and July for 252 day MA systems and July and August for 200 day MA systems – show just slightly lower Sharpe ratios and higher MARs than the monthly system. Nascent quants might be tempted to conclude that you would do just as well trading an annual 252 day MA system so long as you trade in June or July, or are trading an annual 200 day MA system in July or August. But this is an illusion.


Recall that there were really just 2 bear markets over the test horizon: the 2000 bursting of the technology bubble, and the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Further, only the 2008 Global Financial Crisis really qualifies as a true multi-asset class crash. It just so happens that in 2008 most assets, with the exception of U. S. stocks and real estate, delivered strong returns until June. Further, the crash didn't really get going in earnest until September. The favourable 'mid summer' strategies rebalanced in June, July or August also avoided the whipsaws and volatile bottoming process that occurred in the first three months of 2009. Annual strategies that rebalanced in June, July or August were able to capture all of the returns in 2008, avoid almost all of the ensuing crash, avoid the January whipsaw and V bottom in March, and harness a substantial portion of the 2009 rebound. Lucky stuff, not likely to be repeated in the same way next time.


For fun, we took the next natural step for this analysis by examining the performance of annually rebalanced systems traded on each day of the calendar year. There are typically 252 trading days in a calendar year, so we examined the results for systems that trade annually on day 1, day 2, day 3…day 251, day 252. Trade day 1 will have a slightly different calendar date each year, depending on where New Years Day falls in the week, but in all we have 252 different annually rebalanced systems from which to compare results. Figures 3. and 4. show these results separately for 252 day MA and a 200 MA systems. Rather than show the results for each annual trade day (which would have made for a very wide chart), we sorted results into quantiles; this better illustrates the distribution of performance for all of the individual systems.


The numbers at the bottom of each chart represent percentile values. For example, the bar above 0.1 in any chart describes the 10th percentile observation; that is, the observation that is exceeded by 90% of all observations. Among 250 observations, this would be the 25th lowest value. The 0.5 bar is highlighted in red because it represents the median value, or the 50th percentile. 50% of all results exceed this value, and 50% are below.


Figure 3. Quantile analysis of 252 annually rebalanced 252 day MA systems vs. monthly and daily traded systems


Data source: Bloomberg


Figure 4. Quantile analysis of 252 annually rebalanced 200 day MA systems vs. monthly and daily traded systems


Data source: Bloomberg


It is useful to compare the median performance (red bars) among all possible annually rebalanced models against the performance of the monthly rebalanced and daily rebalanced versions (green and orange bars, respectively). Note again that in every case the monthly rebalanced system outperforms the median annually rebalanced system.


Somewhat surprisingly, the Sharpe ratios of the monthly rebalanced systems exceed the Sharpe ratios for 99% of the annually rebalanced versions. You can observe this for yourself by comparing the 0.99 bar in the charts to the green and orange bars. You'd have to be incredibly lucky to trade an annually rebalanced system and exceed the performance of the monthly model; less than 1 in 100 who try are likely to be successful.


Some readers may have been wondering whether there was anything magical about the fact that the monthly traded approach always executes on the last trading day of the month. Would results vary if we traded monthly, but on the 8th day of the month, or perhaps day 17? To satisfy your curiosity, we ran the monthly traded system with trading days from day 1 to day 20 in each month to see if this made a large difference to results. Figure 5 summarizes the output.


Figure 5. Performance results for monthly systems rebalanced at each trading day of the month, 10 month MA


Data source: Bloomberg


Some of you may be surprised to learn that rebalancing on the last day of the month carries no advantage, and may in fact be disadvantageous. Keen systematicians may choose to divide their capital and trade each fraction on a different day of the month to further stabilize results without impacting turnover (though smaller investors may incur more trading costs).


The goal of this article was not to conclude whether annual, monthly, or daily rebalancing is optimal for Faber's 'Ivy-5' portfolio. Indeed, quite the opposite. Rather, the goal was to provide a framework for judging the statistical robustness of a simple systematic asset allocation strategy. In doing so, it's important to test how sensitive a strategy is to small changes in important features of the system. In this case, while our tests were very consistent with the spirit of the original analysis of the Ivy 5 method, small changes to the asset universe, moving average window, and in particular trade dates resulted in material dispersion in results. For example, the 5th percentile worst outcome for all annually rebalanced approaches, per Figure 3. was a compound return under 4%, a Sharpe ratio under 0.15, and a maximum drawdown of over 25%. In contrast, the 95th percentile outcome was a compound return over 6%, a Sharpe over 0.5 and a maximum drawdown under 10%. Pretty significant.


It also became clear through our analysis that an annually rebalanced approach to an Ivy 5 type methodology is very unlikely to generate the same absolute or risk-adjusted performance as the monthly rebalanced approach, even after accounting for fairly onerous transaction cost assumptions. On the other hand, more frequent daily rebalancing incurs transaction costs that swamp any potential benefits and may be vulnerable to more frequent whipsaws which have the potential to amplify drawdowns.


As simple as possible, but no simpler!


Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo are Portfolio Managers with Butler|Philbrick|Gordillo & Associates at Richardson GMP in Toronto Canada.


&dupdo; Butler|Philbrick|Gordillo & Associates, 2017


BP Dividend History & Description — BP p. l.c.


BP is an integrated oil and gas group based in the United Kingdom. Co. is engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas; refining, marketing, supply and transportation; and the manufacture and marketing of petrochemicals. Co. operates globally, with business activities in Europe, the U. S. Canada, Russia, South America, Australasia, Asia and parts of Africa. Co. operates in two business segments: Exploration and Production - including oil and natural gas exploration and development and production; and Refining and Marketing - activities include the refining, manufacturing, supply and trading, marketing and transportation of crude oil, petroleum and petrochemicals.


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BP plc (BP) Receives “A-” Credit Rating from Morningstar


BP plc (NYSE:BP) has earned an “A-” credit rating from Morningstar. The investment research firm’s “A-” rating indicates that the company is a low default risk. They also gave their stock a four star rating.


BP plc (NYSE:BP ) opened at 31.33 on Friday. BP plc has a one year low of $27.01 and a one year high of $43.85. The firm’s 50 day moving average price is $29.93 and its 200 day moving average price is $31.87. The stock’s market cap is $96.14 billion.


The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, March 24th. Shareholders of record on Friday, February 12th will be paid a $0.60 dividend. The ex-dividend date is Wednesday, February 10th. This represents a $2.40 annualized dividend and a yield of 7.66%.


A number of other equities research analysts have also issued reports on the company. Nomura assumed coverage on BP plc in a research report on Friday. They issued a “neutral” rating and a $34.05 price target for the company. Kepler Capital Markets reiterated a “sell” rating on shares of BP plc in a report on Thursday, March 10th. Vetr cut BP plc from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating and set a $30.80 price objective on the stock. in a report on Tuesday, March 1st. JPMorgan Chase & Co. reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of BP plc in a report on Wednesday, February 3rd. Finally, Societe Generale upgraded BP plc from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a report on Friday, January 15th. Four analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, thirteen have assigned a hold rating, twelve have issued a buy rating and two have issued a strong buy rating to the company. The company presently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $37.66.


An institutional investor recently raised its position in BP plc stock. Park National raised its stake in BP plc (NYSE:BP) by 17.3% during the fourth quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 18,261 shares of the oil and gas exploration company’s stock after buying an additional 2,699 shares during the period. Park National’s holdings in BP plc were worth $570,000 as of its most recent filing with the SEC.


BP p. l.c. (NYSE:BP ) is an integrated oil and gas company. The Company provides its customers with fuel for transportation, energy for heat and light, lubricants and the petrochemicals products used to make everyday items, including paints, clothes and packaging.


To view more credit ratings from Morningstar, visit www. jdoqocy. comclick-7674909-10651170 .


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Don’t Miss This Chance To Buy BP PLC (ADR) (NYSE:BP)


[Option Monster] BP PLC (ADR) (NYSE:BP)( TREND ANALYSIS ) optionMONSTER’s Depth Charge market scanner detected the purchase of 2,682 April 27 puts for $1.04 at the same second today. Volume was more than 6 times open interest at the strike, showing that this is a new position.


Long puts lock in the price the price where a stock can be sold, so they make money to the downside. Investors use them to hedge long positions or to speculate on a drop. (See our Coaching section)


BP is up 1.77 percent to $30.75 in afternoon trading but is down 10 percent in the last month. The energy producer’s next quarterly results are estimated for pre-market hours on Feb. 2.


Stock Performance: Click here for a free comprehensive Trend Analysis Report


BP PLC (ADR) (NYSE:BP) stock is currently trading 29.87% below its 52-week-high, 4.77% above its 52-week-low. The 1-year stock price history is in the range of $29.35 – $43.85. BP PLC (ADR) (BP) has a price to book ratio of 0.91 versus Basic Materials sector average of 2.9. BP stock price has underperformed the S&P 500 by 15.4%. The Integrated Oil company is currently valued at $94.04 billion, and its share price closed the last trading session at $30.75. The stock has a 50-day moving average of $34.09 and a 200-day moving average of $35.64.


BP PLC (ADR) (BP) current short interest stands at 5.85 million shares. It has decreased by 15% from the same period of last month. Around 1% of the company’s shares, which are float, are short sold. With a 10-days average volume of 11.12 million shares, the number of days required to cover the short positions stand at 0.6 day.


The company is expected to announce next quarter earnings on February 02, at consensus estimate of $0.15. BP PLC (ADR) (BP) reported last quarter earnings on October 27. The Integrated Oil company announced earnings per share of $0.6 against a consensus Street estimate of $0.33, beating the average estimate by $0.27. This corresponds to a decrease of $0.66 compared to the same quarter of the previous fiscal year.


Is this a Buying Opportunity? Click here for a free Trend Analysis Report


There are currently thirty-five analysts that cover BP PLC (ADR) stock. Of those thirty-five, fourteen have a Buy rating, nineteen have a Hold rating and two have a Sell rating. On a consensus basis this yields to an Overweight rating. The consensus target price stands at $38.04.


A recent analyst activity consisted of Evercore ISI Group upgrading their Hold rating to Buy on November 3. On the date of report, the stock closed at $36.63.


Morgan Stanley upgraded their Underweight rating to Equal-weight on November 2. On the date of report, the stock closed at $35.7.


Another research firm was BMO Capital who initiated their coverage on the stock with Outperform rating on September 28. On the date of report, the stock closed at $28.91.


BP plc is an oil and petrochemicals company. The Company explores for and produces oil and natural gas, refines, markets, and supplies petroleum products, generates solar energy, and manufactures and markets chemicals. BP’s chemicals include terephthalic acid, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, ethylene and polyethylene.


Don’t Miss This Chance To Buy BP PLC (ADR) (NYSE:BP) was last modified: December 16th, 2017 by Jason Ford


Is 200-Day Moving Average Providing Insight to the S&P 500?


The S&P 500’s 200-day moving average is commonly used to track long-term trends.


All things being equal, the stock market bulls prefer the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) to remain above the 200-day. The bears are more content when price drops and stays below the 200-day. As shown in the 2017 chart below, the S&P 500 has printed twelve consecutive daily closes above its 200-day moving average. From a historical perspective, do rallies typically fail or succeed after twelve consecutive closes above the 200-day?


1990 – The Rally Continued


There are not too many historical cases in the last 30 years that featured a significant drop below the 200-day (7% to 19%) followed by a rally back above the 200-day. One case that fits the profile is 1990.


What happened after the twelfth consecutive close? Stocks tacked on an additional 33% between point A and point B.


1998 – The Rally Continued


In 1998, the S&P 500 slashed through its 200-day moving average, formed a double bottom, and then rallied back above its 200-day moving average for twelve consecutive sessions, which is similar to what we have seen in 2017.


What happened after the twelfth consecutive close in 1998? Stocks tacked on an additional 25% between point A and point B.


Does The Bigger Picture Have Bullish Characteristics?


This week’s stock market video takes a broader look at the market’s risk-reward profile.


After the 2010 “flash crash” correction, the S&P 500 was unable to post twelve consecutive daily closes above its 200-day moving average until mid-September.


What happened after the twelfth consecutive close in 2010? Stocks tacked on an additional 17% between point A and point B.


2011 – The Rally Continued


Calendar year 2011 saw numerous events that were similar to 2017; a consolidation period, a sharp plunge, a double bottom, and a rally back above the 200-day moving average. The twelfth consecutive daily close above the 200-day did not occur until early 2012.


What happened after the twelfth consecutive close in 2012? Stocks tacked on an additional 8% between point A and point B.


How Can We Use This?


Does history tell us what is going to happen in late 2017/early 2017? No, history can only speak to probabilities. In each of the historical cases above, once the S&P 500 posted twelve consecutive daily closes above its 200-day moving average, the rally continued and tacked on significant gains.


1987 has some similarities and could be included in this analysis. We decided to omit it for two reasons: (1) the S&P 500 stayed below its 200-day moving average for seven months, which is quite a bit different than 2017 (two months), and (2) the negative slope of the 200-day was significantly steeper (more bearish) in 1987.


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March 22nd, 2017 11:38 pm


Even at 0.3% Japan’s Funds Are Loving 20 Years of Risk in Bonds 2017-03-23 01:26:12.318 GMT


By Kevin Buckland and Shigeki Nozawa (Bloomberg) — Japan’s second-biggest bond fund says it will favor securities with whatever maturity it takes to get any positive yield. That means 20-year debt. Mitsubishi UFJ Kokusai Asset Management Co.’s Global Sovereign Open Fund has been increasing its holdings in the maturity, said Tatsuya Higuchi, chief fund manager in the fixed income investment division. Debt maturing in 20 years or morereturned 19 percent this year, compared with 1.3 percent for shorter-dated securities, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Yields on sovereign bonds maturing in as long as a decade have fallen below zero since the central bank announced a negative interest rate policy in January. “If you add liquidity to the equation, the 20-year bond offers the best balance of risk and return,” Higuchi, whose flagship fund manages about 789 billion yen ($7 billion), said in an interview in Tokyo. “Given that we’re handling client money, it’s hard to justify investing in products with negative yields — but bonds with slightly longer maturities still offer positive yields.” Debt yields have collapsed since the Bank of Japan decided to charge financial institutions for some deposits, forcing investors to buy and hold ever-longer maturities. The amount of Japanese government bonds with negative yields has swollen to more than $5 trillion, a BOJ operation to buy long-term notes last week met the lowest investor participation on record, and the yield on 40-year bonds plunged 20 basis points on Tuesday in thin trade to below that of 30-year securities.


The 20-year bond yielded 0.37 percent as of 10:20 a. m. in Tokyo on Wednesday, after dipping to 0.29 percent on March 18 for the first time ever. The yield on the 10-year security reached a record minus 0.135 percent on the same day, and was recently minus 0.08 percent. Higuchi points to a steepening in Japan’s sovereign yield curve between the 10- and 20-year bonds to suggest there is still a “profit opportunity” in the longer-dated security — even after the spread narrowed as much as 40 basis points in the month to March 9. Higuchi’s confidence in buying longer-term debt stems from the belief there won’t be a quick recovery in Japan’s economy, amid subdued growth and inflation in developed markets globally since the 2008 financial crisis. The average duration of JGB holdings is 16.5 years, the longest in the fund, which Morningstar Inc. ranks as the second biggest by assets in Japan among global bond funds. By contrast, the average duration of Treasury notes in its portfolio is 5.9 years, according to the firm.


Higuchi also predicts the BOJ and government will need to press on with stimulus, with inflation stuck near zero for more than a year and the economy shrinking in five quarters since Shinzo Abe became prime minister. That should eventually lead the yen to resume weakening against the dollar, Higuchi says, after Japan’s currency surprised analysts and investors by outperforming all its developed-market peers this year. “If the trend for a weaker yen stops, there are many ways in which it will be a negative for corporate profits, cutting the speed of the recovery,” he said. “In order to support the economy, the central bank needs the yen to continue on a gradual weakening path.”


On the other side of the equation, Higuchi sees the U. S. economy keeping its position as a world beater, lifting its currency along with Treasury yields. There too, he prefers longer-term debt over short-term securities, which he says are too exposed to shifts in the outlook for monetary policy. The probability in futures markets of another Federal Reserve rate hike in 2017 has swung from 93 percent at the start of the year to as low as 11 percent in February, before rebounding to 76 percent. It’s the outlook for the currencies and the U. S.’s higher yields that have prompted Higuchi to keep Treasuries as his main investment at about 40 percent of the total, even as he built up his position in JGBs to about 12 percent over the past year, the second-highest proportion in the portfolio. “In a world where the number of bonds with negative yields continues to rise, the U. S. Treasury market — where positive yields are the norm — is still very attractive,” he said.


March 22nd, 2017 8:04 am


RATES: Shorts Jump to Longs in Latest JPM Survey 2017-03-22 11:30:56.448 GMT


By Robert Elson (Bloomberg) — The JPMorgan treasury Client Survey for the week ended March 21 vs week ended March 14.


* Longs 21 vs 16 * Neutrals 60 vs 59 * Shorts 19 vs 25 * Net longs 2 vs -9 * “The all clients survey shows the most net longs since February 29, 2017”


* Active clients: * Longs 30 vs 20 * Neutrals 60 vs 50 * Shorts 10 vs 30 * Net longs 20 vs -10 * “The active clients survey is now 26%-pts longer than its 1-year average”


March 22nd, 2017 7:24 am


BlackRock Inc. the world’s largest money manager, says investors should pare their Treasury holdings because the U. S. will avoid a recession.


“Economic indicators this week may show the U. S. economy experienced a mild slowdown but is not headed for a recession,” Richard Turnill, the global chief investment strategist, wrote in a report Monday on the company’s website. Investors should have an “underweight” position in Treasuries, according to the report. New York-based BlackRock manages $4.6 trillion.


U. S. 10-year note yields were unchanged at 1.91 percent as of 7:06 a. m. in London, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader data. The price of the 1.625 percent note due in February 2026 was 97 13/32.


Treasuries have fallen 0.7 percent in March, heading for their first losing month this year, based on the Bloomberg World Bond Indexes. The market is sliding as the U. S. economy shows signs of improvement, highlighted by a February jobs gain that was bigger than economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected.


Manufacturing increased in March, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists before an industry report Tuesday. Orders for durable goods fell in February, based on the surveys ahead of the government figures March 24. A private report the same day will show growth in the services industry this month, based on the responses.


Inflation’s Impact


Quickening inflation will help push Treasuries down, said Hideaki Kuriki, a debt investor at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Asset Management, which oversees $59.5 billion.


“The American economy is recovering and American inflation is recovering,” Kuriki said. “Treasury yields will go up.”


The difference between yields on 10-year notes and same-maturity Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, a gauge of trader expectations for consumer prices over the life of the debt, was 1.67 percentage points Monday. It was the highest level since August. It’s still less than the average for the past decade of 2.08.


March 22nd, 2017 7:22 am


Via Kit Juckes at SocGen:


Yesterday afternoon’s bounce in oil prices has been sustained through Asian trading, providing a mostly risk-friendly backdrop and helping commodity-sensitive currencies while keeping the dollar under a little downward pressure. Today’s data includes the flash PMIs for the Euro area, Germany’s IFO, UK CPI, the Markit manufacturing PMI and Richmond Fed index in the US. The European PMIs take pride of place, though the consensus forecast (and ours too) is for the composite measure to be unchanged at 53.0, which doesn’t promise thrills or spills for markets. We expect marginally stronger German manufacturing (50.9) to be offset by slightly softer services (55.0).


This time last week I was merrily suggesting that USDJPY was a buy as risk sentiment held up well and Treasury yields edged slowly higher. Today risk sentiment is in fine fettle and Treasury yields are once again edging up so guess what? A degree of circumspection is only reasonable under the circumstances but across markets generally, the effects of the Fed’s dovish stance are gradually starting to unwind. I’ll come back to reasons to (re)short the yen in due course and put down a market for now that becalmed markets with slowly rising US yields would be bad for it.


The first reaction to the Fed’s dovish stance was shock (and position-reduction). The second was to look for a conspiracy theory (what was in the Shanghai water?). The third reaction is to take a step back and wonder what the point of ever-easier monetary policy might be (we know, by now, that it does more for asset prices and inequality than it does for aggregate demand). There is growing doubt that any kind of acceleration in global growth is likely in the absence of fiscal expansion. The debate is increasingly between those who think that slower growth is just the price we have to pay for the surge in debt levels of the past decade (and more) and those who think private sector reluctance to invest at these rates demands public sector intervention.


I’ll get back to the fiscal policy debate at a better time of day, though from here in Finland I’d say that the success of Scandinavian economies in managing long-term infrastructure investment seems considerably better than the UK’s (just writing that makes ‘Hinkley Point’ pop unwanted into my head). But whether anything was agreed, tacitly or not, at Shanghai, I still get the sense that there is a trace in the ‘currency wars’. The Fed doesn’t want an ever-stronger dollar and the end of the dollar rally is good for global risk sentiment. The ECB is more interested in boosting credit growth than weakening the Euro (which is consequently going nowhere). The BOJ isn’t pushing the yen down with any great fervour for now. The upshot is a collapse of volatility and that in turn is going to sustain a search for yield. I’d still rather get my yield in oil-sensitive currencies than ones which rely too much on Chinese growth, but that just means a preference for CAD over NZD, for RUB over, say, BRL as a long against the Euro.


UK Brexit hyperbole went up a notch overnight when Kristin Forbes compared it to the Suez crisis. The heart of the point was that the current account is a growing source of concern, and that will persist even if, ultimately, it’s the effect on uncertainty and on economic activity which will drive GBP/USD down between now and June 23. Still we’ll re-iterate our generally bearish view and stay short GBP/NOK.


March 22nd, 2017 7:20 am


Saudi Arabia is prepared to sign up to an oil output freeze next month even without Iran taking part, a senior Opec delegate said, paving a way for a deal among big producers.


Some of the world’s largest oil players will meet in Doha on April 17 to discuss restraining output. It follows a provisional agreement reached in February by Saudi Arabia, Russia, Qatar and Venezuela to freeze production at January levels.


“There is agreement from many countries to go along with a freeze, why make it contingent on Iran,” said the delegate.


The comments contrast with those from Gulf officials last month which suggested any deal was conditional on Iran, Saudi Arabia’s Opec rival, taking part alongside other big producer countries.


Iran has sought to increase production and exports after the lifting of sanctions against its oil industry in January. Iranian officials have until now shown no willingness to back any deal that would result in restricting its own output.


Questions have been raised among Gulf delegates about the country’s ability to ramp up output, suggesting this could be one reason for compliance even without Iran.


“Despite all the bragging, we have yet to see what Iran can do,” said the delegate.


Abdalla El-Badri, Opec’s secretary-general, said on Monday at a news conference in Vienna: “Maybe in the future they will join the group. They [Iran] have some conditions about their production.”


About 15 Opec and non-Opec countries — accounting for two-thirds of global oil output — have so far supported an oil freeze, Qatar’s energy minister Mohammed Bin Saleh Al-Sada said last week.


A provisional deal has helped to support prices and reverse negative market sentiment toward oil. Brent crude was at $41.47 on Wednesday, up 53 per cent since hitting a 2017 intraday low of $27.10 a barrel in January.


“Look at what it [the move towards the oil freeze] did to change the psyche of the market,” said the delegate. “Now the market can see people are gathering, people are communicating. This collaborative element has helped the price.”


Hedge funds and other speculators have dramatically increased their bets on a higher oil price in the past several weeks. Their combined net long positions in Nymex and ICE WTI are now at 172m barrels, from just 35m barrels on January 12.


The delegate said he predicted higher oil prices by the end of the year, as excess supplies fell.


A sense of urgency among all producers to improve the economic situation has been a catalyst to better engagement between producers, he added.


Rusia. he said, was now “taking a leading role” in engaging with other Opec producers. The country’s relationship with Saudi Arabia had improved, he added.


Although a production freeze at January levels was most likely, the delegate said, he left the door open for more discussion on which marker is used. “We’ll see who did what in January, February and March. Then maybe we can find numbers that add more credence in the market place,” he added.


March 22nd, 2017 7:13 am


Via Marc Chandler at brown Brothers Harriman:


Terrorist Strike in Brussels Causes Market Angst


Bombing in Brussels disrupts capital markets


Japan’s manufacturing PMI slips below 50


Flash eurozone composite PMI shows improvement, while German sentiment readings are mixed


Canada’s new government presents its budget


US Fed officials playing up likelihood of another rate hike


The US dollar is mixed, with European currencies stabilizing at lower levels following the attack in Brussels. Sterling is again the weakest of the majors as the fissures in the Tory Party deepen and the government has had to backtrack from last week’s budget. Emerging market stocks are fractionally lower and Dow Jones Stoxx 600 in Europe is off 0.6%, led by financials and consumer staples. Bonds yields in Europe and the US are as much as two bp lower. Gold is firmer at $1250. Among emerging market currencies, the Malaysian ringgit is the strongest. The 1.2% rise brings it to a 7-month high. The rally in oil and news that 1MBD may be concluding an asset sale help. East and central European currencies are the weakest, off around 0.5%.


A series of attacks at Brussels airport and metro casts a pall over the market. The attacks come as Europe prepares what for many will be a long holiday weekend. Gold, the dollar and yen seem to have been the beneficiaries. Bonds are generally firmer and equities lower. However, in late morning activity in London, the markets began stabilizing.


Sterling remains the weakest of the major currencies. It is nearly as much as it was yesterday (0.7%) against the dollar. Osborne has been forced to scrap some welfare cuts, and this opens a new GBP4.4 bln budget gap.


Such climb downs and missing self-imposed caps and targets have become characteristic of the Chancellor in Cameron’s government. However, within the backdrop of the referendum is having a greater toll. Cameron’s hope that a referendum would unite the party seems to be doing the exact opposite.


Moody’s assessment of Brexit could have been worse. It argued that the costs would outweigh the benefits, which is what most economists have concluded. Moody’s also noted that there would be credit implications. However, it judged that the costs would be manageable, and the existing trade arrangement with the EU would likely be replicated.


Separately, the UK reported softer than expected inflation. The headline rise of 0.2% was half of what the consensus forecast, and this left the year-over-year rate unchanged at 0.3%. The BOE’s inflation report in February anticipated a 0.5% increase in March. The core rate was unchanged at 1.2%. Input prices for producers was a little less than expected while output price was not quite as soft as forecast.


Sterling had poked through $.145 before the weekend and today neared $1.4250. The $1.4230 area corresponds to a 61.8% retracement of sterling’s gains in the wake of last week’s FOMC decision. A break would warn of losses closer to $1.40.


Poor Japanese data will encourage speculation that the Bank of Japan may ease again as early as next month. The March manufacturing PMI fell to 49.1, the lowest since at least February 2017. The Bloomberg consensus forecast an increase to 50.5 from 50.1. The average for Q1 was 50.5 compared with 52.5 in Q4 15 and 51.3 in Q3 15.


Japanese shares snapped a four-session losing streak with the Nikkei’s 1.9% rise . Health care and telecom led the advance. Energy was the only declining sector. The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index was up 0.7%. It is up six of the past nine sessions.


The dollar has recorded its third session of higher highs against the yen. However, it appears to be faltering ahead of JPY112.25, which is the 50% retracement objective of the dollar’s drop since the FOMC meeting.


The flash PMI from the euro area was slightly better than expected. The preliminary March manufacturing reading was 51.4. This is in line with expectations and a little higher than the 51.2 in February. It was the first uptick of the. year. The Q1 average was 51.6 compared with 52.8 in Q4 15 and 52.2 in Q3 15. The preliminary service sector PMI increased to 54.0 from 53.3. The consensus was for an unchanged reading. It averaged 53.6 in Q1 averaged 54.2 in Q4 15 and 54.0 in Q3 15.


This translated into a 53.7 composite reading. This is up from 53.0 in February and what the consensus expected. It is the best reading of quarter.


Separately, the two German surveys, the IFO and ZEW were released. The IFO was reported a little stronger than expected while the ZEW was a bit softer than expected. The former is regarded as more comprehensive while the latter seems to track more closely investor sentiment. These surveys coupled with the flash PMI suggests the tumultuous start of the year for the financial markets have not derailed the largest European economy.


The euro is slipping lower for the third session. The euro ran up from about $1.1070 to nearly $1.1245 in the aftermath of the FOMC meeting. At $1.1200, it retraced half of those gains and at $1.1165 it would retrace 6.18%. The intraday technical suggest consolidation may be the most likely scenario for the remainder of the session.


That said, the North American session has a few features. First, the new Canadian government will present its budget today. A C$30 bln deficit is expected. It is a function of about C$18.4 bln deficit being inherited (which includes a C$6 bln cushion) and about C$10.5 bln in campaign promises. The focus is primarily on infrastructure and green projects but also includes a child benefit (direct transfer to low-income families with children).


In the US, we highlight two developments. The first will be the preliminary Markit manufacturing PMI. The early Fed surveys for March suggest the US manufacturing sector may have bottomed. The second will be speeches by two Fed Presidents, Chicago Fed’s Evans and Philadelphia Fed’s Harker. Yesterday’s comments by Williams, Bullard, and Lockhart suggest not only that a June hike is in the cards, but an April move cannot be entirely ruled out either. We have argued that the Fed would like to explain a move to investors this early in the cycle and that this favors a June hike over April.


However, suppose the Fed wanted to enhance is credibility, which some have questioned. First, it would shift its tactics toward Under-promising and over-delivering. The dot plots could fit into such a scenario. Second, it could hike in April and surprise market participants. Yellen’s speech next week in NY will likely be important.


March 22nd, 2017 7:06 am


S&P 500 Index falls below 200 day moving average!


Well, that’s the end of an era. For the first time in almost two years the S&P 500 has moved below its 200 day moving average. This ends the 5th longest streak in history. This is generally seen as an indicator for a long term downtrend, and it’s not hard to see why. We are off 6.8% from our all-time high, not quite hitting the 10% retracement needed to define this as a Bear market, but Monday’s decisive turn downward late in the day Monday is making a lot of people even more nervous about the coming days.


But there is hope. Earnings season is starting and it holds the potential to be a market catalyst. As companies begin to release their earnings, especially blue chips and tech stocks, the reactions to what appear to be positive results may surprise. For example, this morning before the market opened, Johnson & Johnson, (JNJ) a solid blue chip stock holding, reported 3 rd quarter profit beating expectations, and the company boasted their full year EPS outlook. Immediate reaction in the pre-market was that the shares traded 1% higher. But now when I look at the stock I see that the stock is actually 2% lower on the day in the midst of a market which tried to bounce today. The overall market seems to be failing to hold its gains as well in the last hour.


Be careful out there!


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The above information is provided by OM Securities, LLC dba OptionsHouse (“OptionsHouse”) for informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any particular security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Commentary and opinions expressed are those of the author/speaker and not necessarily of OptionsHouse. Neither OptionsHouse nor any of its employees, officers, shareholders or affiliated companies guarantee the accuracy of or endorse the views or opinions of guest speakers or commentators. Projections or other information regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature and are not guarantees of future results. Any examples used that discuss trading profits or losses may not take into account trading commissions or fees.


When investing in any exchange traded fund, one should have a clear strategy in place. Instead of relying on gut feelings or fight-or-flight instincts, investors can look at the trend lines to get a sense of when they should be in or out.


For instance, Greg Harmon for Dragonfly Capital tracks the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day simple moving average, or SMA.


Harmon points to a nine year chart, with the purple background indicating the actual movement in the S&P 500.


Investors will notice that market bottoms typically occurred when the percentage of stocks over the 200-day SMA dipped below at least 45%. With a level of 60.8 today, Harmon cautioned that “there is still room for a lot more downside.”


Here at ETF Trends, we look at an ETF’s 200-day exponential moving average to determine buy or sell positions. If the fund is above its 200-day EMA, it is positive signal, whereas if the fund decreases below the trend, it is an indicator to get out. [An ETF Trend-Following Plan for All Seasons ]


Currently, most broad stock ETFs are hovering around or below their 200-day EMAs:


SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEArca: SPY ) . 0.7% above its 200-day exponential moving average


Powershares QQQ Trust ETF (NYSEArca: QQQ ) . 1.7% below its 200-day exponential moving average


SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEArca: DIA ) . 0.4% below its 200-day exponential moving average


iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSEArca: IWM ) . 0.8% below its 200-day exponential moving average


For more information on tracking investment trends, visit our trend following category .


Max Chen contributed to this article .


The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.


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BP plc (BP) Rating Reiterated by Nomura


BP plc (LON:BP) ‘s stock had its “neutral” rating reissued by research analysts at Nomura in a research note issued to investors on Friday, Market Beat Ratings reports. They presently have a GBX 350 ($5.04) price objective on the oil and gas exploration company’s stock. Nomura’s price objective suggests a potential downside of 1.74% from the company’s previous close.


In related news, insider Gilvary, Brian acquired 95 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, February 10th. The shares were bought at an average price of GBX 334 ($4.81) per share, with a total value of £317.30 ($456.61).


BP has been the subject of several other research reports. Deutsche Bank reduced their price target on shares of BP plc from GBX 450 ($6.48) to GBX 445 ($6.40) and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Monday, February 1st. Barclays restated an “overweight” rating and issued a GBX 550 ($7.91) price target on shares of BP plc in a report on Thursday, March 10th. Societe Generale restated a “buy” rating and issued a GBX 375 ($5.40) price target on shares of BP plc in a report on Thursday, March 3rd. Sanford C. Bernstein restated an “outperform” rating and issued a GBX 420 ($6.04) price target on shares of BP plc in a report on Wednesday, February 10th. Finally, Goldman Sachs set a GBX 380 ($5.47) price objective on shares of BP plc and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a research note on Monday, March 14th. Three analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, thirteen have given a hold rating and nine have issued a buy rating to the company’s stock. BP plc has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of GBX 390.68 ($5.62).


BP plc (LON:BP ) opened at 356.20 on Friday. BP plc has a 52-week low of GBX 309.10 and a 52-week high of GBX 487.50. The firm has a 50-day moving average of GBX 346.76 and a 200 day moving average of GBX 356.54. The company’s market capitalization is GBX 65.58 billion.


BP p. l.c. (LON:BP ) is an integrated oil and gas company. The Company provides its customers with fuel for transportation, energy for heat and light, lubricants and the petrochemicals products used to make everyday items, including paints, clothes and packaging.


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Futures and Commodity Market News


Los datos de mercado son propiedad de la Bolsa. Los datos de mercado se retrasan al menos 10 minutos. El acceso a este sitio web y el uso de estos datos de mercado están sujetos a lo siguiente: (a) Los datos de mercado son para uso personal del destinatario y no pueden ser redistribuidos sin permiso de la Bolsa, lo cual puede depender de la ejecución de un acuerdo y el pago de La tarifa aplicable; (B) la Bolsa y sus licenciantes reservan todos los Derechos de Propiedad Intelectual a los datos del mercado; (C) Exchange y TradingCharts declinan toda responsabilidad por los datos de mercado y uso de los mismos, y cualquier y todas las pérdidas, daños o reclamaciones derivados del uso de datos de mercado; (D) Exchange y TradingCharts pueden suspender o terminar la recepción de datos de mercado por cualquier parte si la Bolsa o TradingCharts tiene razones para creer que los datos de mercado están siendo mal utilizados o falsificados. También es una condición de acceso a este sitio web que usted acepta no copiar, diseminar, capturar, realizar ingeniería inversa o utilizar la información proporcionada en este sitio para cualquier otro propósito, excepto para la visualización directa en el navegador de Internet del usuario final solamente. Sólo en el formato proporcionado. Estas páginas & copiar; TradingCharts. com, Inc.


Comercio Forex, materias primas y índices bursátiles con opciones binarias & ndash; Ver cómo


If you follow the Equity Indices closely, you can sometimes spot patterns that repeat themselves with a high degree of consistency. Continúe leyendo aquí.


24 de agosto de 2017, fue un día importante en los mercados de divisas mundiales. Los chinos conmocionaron al mundo con una devaluación del yuan. Continúe leyendo aquí.


TRND RBS US Large Cap Trendpilot ETN


Weighted average ratio of prices of a fund’s stocks to trailing earnings of underlying stocks.


Weighted average ratio of prices of a fund’s stocks to the book value of underlying equity.


The ratio of distributions paid by the fund over the past 12 months, divided by the fund’s NAV.


The date on which a security's price excludes an upcoming dividend.


The number of securities held in the fund as of ETF. com’s analysis date, based on issuer portfolios or the creation basket. If an ETF holds other ETFs, we count every constituent, looking through the ETF wrapper.


TRND Index Data


Index Tracked RBS US Large Cap Trendpilot Index


This is the benchmark an ETF is desigend to track or replicate.


A set of rules that the underlying index provider follows to weight its constituent securities.


A set of rules that the underlying index provider follows to select its constituent securities.


This is the index that we have chosen as the best-in-class gauge for each segment's broad market.


Related ETFs to TRND


ETFs from within the same segment or closely related segments with similar investment objectives or market exposures.


The degree to which the fund and its segment benchmark move up and down in unison.


The sensitivity of the returns of the fund to the movement of the ETF. com segment benchmark. Beta of 1.0 means magnitude of fund returns equals that of IU benchmark returns.


The comparison of a fund's return to our benchmark's for days when the benchmark is up. Ideally down beta is less than up beta while beta of 1.0 means they're equal.


The comparison of a fund's return to our benchmark's for days when the benchmark is down. Ideally down beta is less than up beta while beta of 1.0 means they're equal.


A measure of the variability between the fund's returns and the ETF. com segment benchmark returns on days when the fund underperforms the benchmark.


This is the index that we have chosen as the best-in-class gauge for each segment's broad market.


TRND Benchmark Comparison


TRND 0 Holdings Segment Benchmark 0 Constituents Shared Holdings 0 (Count) 0.00% (Weight)


TRND Segment Benchmark


Weighted Average Market Cap -- --


The average market capitalization of the firms in the portfolio based on each firm’s weighting in the portfolio.


The breakdown of the portfolio’s holdings into each market capitalization bucket based on each firm’s weighting in the portfolio.


Weighted average ratio of prices of a fund’s stocks to trailing earnings of underlying stocks.


Weighted average ratio of prices of a fund’s stocks to the book value of underlying equity.


The weighted average of the current yield on the portfolio’s holdings.


Number Of Holdings 0 0


The number of securities held in the fund as of ETF. com’s analysis date, based on issuer portfolios or the creation basket. If an ETF holds other ETFs, we count every constituent, looking through the ETF wrapper.


The level of return contribution attributable to the average portfolio constituent.


The data and information contained herein is not intended to be investment or tax advice. A reference to a particular investment or security, a credit rating, or any observation concerning a security or investment provided in the ETF. com Service is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold such investment or security or to make any other investment decisions. You should not use such information for purposes of any actual transaction without consulting an investment or tax professional. ETF. com DOES NOT TAKE RESPONSIBILITY FOR YOUR INVESTMENT OR OTHER ACTIONS NOR SHALL ETF. com HAVE ANY LIABILITY, CONTINGENT OR OTHERWISE, FOR THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR CORRECT SEQUENCING OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED BY ETF. com OR FOR ANY DECISION MADE OR ACTION TAKEN BY YOU IN RELIANCE UPON SUCH INFORMATION OR ETF. com. [ETF. com DOES NOT PROVIDE ANY RESEARCH OPINIONS.] ETF. com MAKES NO REPRESENTATIONS ABOUT THE SUITABILITY OF THE INFORMATION, PRODUCTS OR SERVICES CONTAINED HEREIN. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS..


Data provider: FactSet Research Systems, Inc. Terms of Use


Thu, Mar 17, 11:50 AM, Zacks What's in Store for Petrobras (PBR) this Earnings Season? Brazilian state-run energy giant Petroleo Brasileiro S. A. or Petrobras (PBR) is expected to release its fourth-quarter 2017 results on Mar 21.


Wed, Mar 16, 10:25 AM, Zacks Obama Unveils Offshore Plan: What Awaits Drillers? On Tuesday, the Obama administration released its draft plan for offshore oil and gas drilling for the period 2017 to 2022.


MTGE Dividend Yield Pushes Above 11% Monday, December 28, 4:34 PM ET, by Market News Video Staff In trading on Monday, shares of American Capital Mortgage Investment Corp. (MTGE) were yielding above.


Corrections Corporation of America (CXW) Passes Through 8% Yield Mark Wednesday, December 30, 3:10 PM ET, by Market News Video Staff In trading on Wednesday, shares of Corrections Corporation of America (CXW) were yielding above the.


Relative Strength Alert For Government Properties Income Trust Tuesday, January 12, 11:46 AM ET, by Market News Video Staff The DividendRank formula at Dividend Channel ranks a coverage universe of thousands of dividend stocks.


Relative Strength Alert For Capstead Mortgage Friday, January 15, 11:50 AM ET, by Market News Video Staff The DividendRank formula at Dividend Channel ranks a coverage universe of thousands of dividend stocks.


Columbia Property Trust Becomes Oversold Friday, January 15, 11:52 AM ET, by Market News Video Staff The DividendRank formula at Dividend Channel ranks a coverage universe of thousands of dividend stocks.


W. P. Carey Breaks Above 200-Day Moving Average - Bullish for WPC


By Dividend Channel Staff, Friday, March 11, 4:06 PM ET


European stocks Overview: DryShips Inc. (DRYS), BP plc (ADR) (BP)


DryShips Inc. (NASDAQ:DRYS):


The company’s RSI reading has hit 45.80. The stock edged lower by -7.75% to close previous trading session at USD 0.11.


The shares of the company fluctuated in the range of USD 0.08 and USD 1.09 in the course of 52 weeks. Over the three months, the company’s shares have declined by -40.8% and in the past one year, it has lost -87.2%. Additionally, the stock’s year to date performance has declined -31.57%. Over the last five days its shares have declined by -6.81% and in the past six months it has moved down -77.41%.


Further, the stock is at a price to book ratio of 0.13. The stock’s weekly volatility is calculated as 13.76% and monthly volatility as 19.06% with ATR of 0.03, beta of 2.93 and price to cash ratio of 0.75.


DryShips Inc. (NASDAQ:DRYS), an international owner of drybulk carriers and offshore support vessels, announced on Jan 15 the availability of the Notice of Special Meeting and Proxy Statement for the Company’s Special Meeting of Shareholders, to be held at the Company’s offices located at 109 Kifisias Avenue &Sina Street, GR 151 24, Marousi, Athens, Greece, on Friday, February 19, 2017 at 4:00 p. m. local time. DryShips Inc. is an owner of drybulk carriers and offshore support vessels that operate worldwide. DryShips also owns approximately 40% of the outstanding shares of Ocean Rig UDW Inc. (NASDAQ:ORIG), an international drilling contractor.


The stock decreased by -8.52% to close last trading session at USD 29.00. The company’s shares oscillated in the range of USD 28.61 and USD 29.36 during intraday trade.


A total of 21.27 million shares exchanged hands, above its 3 month average volume of 9.67 million shares. Over the last five days its shares have declined by -4.45% and in the past six months it has moved down -21.56%.


Furthermore, the stock has weekly volatility of 2.96% and monthly volatility of 3.21% with ATR of 1.28. The stock’s RSI is 41.71 and distance from 50-day simple moving average is -7.86%, whereas its distance from 20-day simple moving average is -3.41% and distance from 200-day simple moving average is -17.50%.


BP operates as an integrated oil and gas company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Upstream, Downstream, and Rosneft. The Upstream segment engages in the oil and natural gas exploration, field development, and production; midstream transportation, and storage and processing; and marketing and trade of natural gas, including liquefied natural gas (LNG), and power and natural gas liquids (NGL). It also owns and manages crude oil and natural gas pipelines; processing facilities and export terminals; and LNG processing facilities and transportation, as well as NGL extraction business. The Downstream segment refines, manufactures, markets, transports, supplies, and trades in crude oil, petroleum, and petrochemicals products and related services to wholesale and retail customers.


What is so Special About the 200-Day Moving Average? The GLD Case


The importance of the 200-day simple moving average as a trend indicator is well-known and indisputable. Even those who do not use technical analysis pay attention to this average. But why 200 days and not 250, for example? The latter should better describe a yearly trend than the former, which only corresponds to 40 weeks. Is there an explanation for the choice of 200 days in the average?


Note on the above chart that the 250-day simple moving average (brown line) also indicates the trend as well as the 200-day simple moving average (blue line) with the notable exception that price found support this week at the former but moved below the support of the latter. Thus, according to the 200-day simple moving average GLD is possibly starting a down trend but according to the 250-day simple moving average GLD is still on an uptrend. Kind of confusing? Yes and no depending on how seriously one takes these things.


Most rules of technical analysis have no clear explanation or justification for their use and as a result neither does the choice of the 200-day simple moving average as an important trend indicator. It is evident that a 201-day simple moving average should indicate the same thing as a 200-day simple moving average, so the latter was probably chosen because it involved a nice round number. But why 200 days and not 250 days? Possibly, this had something to do with the ease of calculating the average in the old days when traders did that manually.


Before offering a possible explanation as to why this average is considered so important, let us first take a closer look at the GLD chart and at what happened earlier this week:


The blue line is the 200-day simple moving average and the two little arrows were used to indicate the two occasions during this week when prices tested this average. The first test was on Tuesday. The value of the moving average by Tuesday’ close (based on closing prices) was $157.44. The GLD high on the same day was $157.43, just a penny shy of the average.


Then on the next day, last Wednesday, the value of the 200-day moving average increased to $157.53 and the GLD high on that day was also $157.53. Amazing, isn’t it?


No, it is not. It is just a self-fulfilling prophecy . Back in the mid 1980s, when I started trading, financial media and analysts reinforced the importance of the 200-day simple moving average by constantly referring to it. Actually, they raised it to the status of an indisputable principle. But some of us, who were actually doing quantitative work for developing trading systems, could not find any special significance of this average no matter how hard we tried. Actually, its use would often result in trading strategies with very high drawdown levels. Despite that, the use of this average in the past 20-25 years has increased its importance to the point that it has become a self-fulfilling prophecy, causing the effects seen on the GLD chart during the earlier part of this week.


Does it matter whether the 200-day simple moving average is a self-fulfilling prophecy instead of some kind of a natural rule? Yes, it does because the outcomes of self-fulfilling prophecies can be manipulated much easier than those of natural rules, especially during periods of insufficient liquidity. Although I pay attention to this average, I am very careful with it. Actually, when prices come close to it I view that as a period of increasing risk than anything else and I adjust position size accordingly.


No relevant positions at this time.


Disclaimer: The author is not a financial advisor and does not recommend the purchase of any security or advise on the suitability of any trade or investment in any timeframe. ETF, stock, futures, forex and options trading and investing involves substantial financial risks and can result in total loss of capital. If investment or other professional advice is required, a licensed professional should be consulted.


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Learn About The 200 Day Moving Average


When researching a stock, investors can use both Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis to help determine whether that stock is a good buy — or a good sell.


Many investors are the most familiar with Fundamental Analysis — what’s happening in the underlying business, its earnings, revenues, balance sheet, and how the management is doing running things.


But then there’s Technical Analysis, which looks only at the trading data for the stock — the real life supply and demand for the stock over time — and examining that data in different ways.


Una de estas maneras es calcular un promedio de los precios de cierre para las últimas 200 sesiones de negociación. Doing this calculation for each day going backwards in time shows how that 200-day average has moved — hence the term “200-Day Moving Average.”


La razón por la que la media móvil de 200 días en particular es tan popular en el análisis técnico es porque históricamente se ha utilizado con resultados rentables para tiempo el mercado. One popular timing strategy is to be invested in the S&P 500 ETF when it is above its 200-Day Moving Average, and move to cash when it goes below it.


With individual stocks, investors can benefit from being alerted when a stock rises above, or falls below, its 200-Day Moving Average, and then use Fundamental Analysis to help determine whether the technical signal is a buying opportunity, or a “look out below” warning.


Keep following Market News Video for alerts when we’ve identified stocks that cross their 200-Day Moving Average.


Market News Video produces and distributes online videos about stocks and investing.


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TCP Climbed Over Its 200-Day Moving Average on March 16, 2017


Price rose above the 200-day moving average


TCP closed up 5.42 percent on Wednesday, March 16, 2017, on 56 percent of normal volume. The stock crossed above its 200 day moving average, improving its long-term outlook by crossing above that critical trendline. Note that the stock is in overbought territory based on its Slow Stochastic indicator (14, 3, 3) -- sideways movement or a pullback should not be unexpected.


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We hear a lot about the S&P 500 and its 200-day moving average. It is trading above or below this long-term trendline? I’ve long said what matters more is the overall trend of the 200-day moving average. With that, as of August 21, the 200-day moving average for the S&P 500 has started to point lower. In other words, is the bigger trend now lower? Trend followers would probably make that argument. So I decided to take a closer look.


Here’s a chart going back to 1928. Again, the 200-day moving average is officially pointing lower and has been for nearly three weeks.


The 200-day moving average had been trending higher for an incredible 870 days. The streak started clear back in March 2012 and was the second longest streak of a higher trending 200-day moving average ever. I wondered what happened after long streaks ended. Starting in ’28, there were seven previous times the 200-day moving average was pointing higher for more than 500 days. As you can see below, the returns after are very poor. Down 8% on average a year later and flat two years later are very weak returns. Even going clear out five years, the average gain is only 16%. Considering the average return with dividends is about 10% a year, this could suggest very weak returns going out several years.


Next I broke things down several different ways. I was surprised that above (or below) the 200-day moving average produced more (or worse) results than the way the 200-day was trending. I always thought the trend mattered more, guess just being above or below is more important. Lastly, I looked at what happened when the S&P 500 was above (or below) the 200-day moving average and it was trending higher (or lower). What is worth noting here is the returns when it is both below the 200-day moving average and the trendline is pointing lower, the returns are pretty poor. This is what is happening now, a lower 200-day moving average and beneath the long term trendline. Also this scenario produces the largest standard deviation. So wild moves are the norm. ¿Suena familiar?


What’s it mean?


The results above are clearly a concern, but it doesn’t mean the end of the world is near either. Sure, the worst bear markets take place when the 200-day is pointing lower and price is beneath that trendline also, but that doesn’t mean things have to crash here. Be on alert, but also consider the fact that the past 12 months the S&P 500 is exactly flat. Price very well could simply be correcting through time versus price. After all, the Dow is up six years in a row. Going back 115 years, it was green seven straight years only once and that was during the ’90s.


European Stocks to Focus: Pentair plc. Ordinary Share (PNR), BP plc (ADR) (BP)


Pentair plc. Ordinary Share (NYSE:PNR):


The company’s RSI reading has hit 63.49. The stock edged higher by 2.99% to close previous trading session at USD 51.75.


The shares of the company fluctuated in the range of USD 41.57 and USD 69.65 in the course of 52 weeks. Over the three months, the company’s shares have declined by -0.23% and in the past one year, it has lost -17.99%. Additionally, the stock’s year to date performance has improved 5.25%. Over the last five days its shares have surged by 3.09% and in the past six months it has moved down -2.96%.


Further, the company is trading at a price to earnings ratio of 143.75 and the stock is at a price to book ratio of 2.34. The stock’s weekly volatility is calculated as 2.93% and monthly volatility as 2.79% with ATR of 1.49, beta of 1.29 and price to cash ratio of 73.94.


Pentair plc. Ordinary Share (PNR) announced that it will pay a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.33 per share on May 6, 2017 to shareholders of record at the close of business on April 22, 2017. Pentair had previously announced on December 8, 2017 the approval by its Board of Directors to pay dividends in 2017 in four quarterly installments of $.33 in each of the first and second quarters and $.34 in each of the third and fourth quarters. 2017 will mark the 40th consecutive year that Pentair has increased its dividend.


The stock increased by 2.94% to close last trading session at USD 30.51. The company’s shares oscillated in the range of USD 29.77 and USD 30.52 during intraday trade.


A total of 9.33 million shares exchanged hands, below its 3 month average volume of 9.37 million shares. Over the last five days its shares have surged by 0.69% and in the past six months it has moved up 1.79%.


Furthermore, the stock has weekly volatility of 1.78% and monthly volatility of 2.21% with ATR of 0.85. The stock’s RSI is 54.99 and distance from 50-day simple moving average is 3.43%, whereas its distance from 20-day simple moving average is 2.08% and distance from 200-day simple moving average is -7.12%.


BP plc (ADR) (BP) operates as an integrated oil and gas company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Upstream, Downstream, and Rosneft. The Upstream segment engages in the oil and natural gas exploration, field development, and production; midstream transportation, and storage and processing; and marketing and trade of natural gas, including liquefied natural gas (LNG), and power and natural gas liquids (NGL). It also owns and manages crude oil and natural gas pipelines; processing facilities and export terminals; and LNG processing facilities and transportation, as well as NGL extraction business. The Downstream segment refines, manufactures, markets, transports, supplies, and trades in crude oil, petroleum, and petrochemicals products and related services to wholesale and retail customers. It offers lubricants and related products under the Castrol, BP, and Aral brands to the automotive, industrial, marine, and energy markets; and petrochemicals products, such as purified terephthalic acid, paraxylene, acetic acid, olefins and derivatives, and specialty petrochemicals products.


Q: Can I see the 200-day moving average for a mutual fund using USATODAY. com's Money section?


A: Many investors are interested in the 200-day moving average of their investments. It's an indicator you might take a look at, too.


If you'd like to see what the 200-day moving average is and how some investors use it, you can read more here about the topic.


The USATODAY. com's charting tool, which generates the 200-day moving average, is designed primarily for stocks, not mutual funds. But, there's a workaround that will let you use the tool to see the 200-day moving average for mutual funds.


Here's how it works: First, go to money. usatoday. com and scroll down to the Market Summary. In the Get a Quote box just below the Dow chart, find the ticker symbol for the mutual fund you are interested in. Write it down and hang onto it. You'll need it later.


Then, enter the symbol of any stock. Yes, stock. Let's use GE for example. Just enter GE in the box and click the Go button.


On the next page that loads, click the Charts tab in the green bar. When that stops loading, replace GE in the "Enter Symbol" box with the ticker symbol of the mutual fund you're interested in. Using Vanguard's 500 Index fund as an example, enter VFINX in the box and click the Draw Chart button.


When the chart of the mutual fund loads, you can then overlay the fund's 200-day moving average. Go to the Moving Average box and use the pulldown to change none> to SMA, short for simple moving average. Then type 200 in the box that says 60, to set the period to the 200-day moving average. Click the Draw Chart button, and the mutual fund's price chart with the 200-day moving average will appear.


If you want to see what the chart looks like for Vanguard's fund, hit this link .


Matt Krantz is a financial markets reporter at USA TODAY and author of Investing Online for Dummies and Fundamental Analysis for Dummies. He answers a different reader question every weekday in his Ask Matt column at money. usatoday. com. To submit a question, e-mail Matt at mkrantz@usatoday. com. Click here to see previous Ask Matt columns. Follow Matt on Twitter at: twitter. com/mattkrantz


S&P 500 breaks the 200-day moving average


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Large Cap Key Stocks of the Day: BP p. l.c. (NYSE:BP)


BP p. l.c. (NYSE:BP), from the Basic Materials sector had a price of $ 31.64 today, indicating a change of 0.32%.


The company is predicting an earnings per share growth of 123.46% in the coming year. The earnings per share growth over the next five years will be. BP p. l.c. had an earnings per share growth of -12.20% in the last 5 years.


Currently the return on equity is -6.20% and its debt to equity is 0.55. BP p. l.c. has a total market cap of $ 96623.17, a gross margin of 9.00% while the profit margin is -2.90% and the ROI is -5.20%


The stats on BP p. l.c. are currently as follows.


The weekly performance is 5.73%, and the quarterly performance is at 4.74%. The monthly performance is 5.31% and the yearly performance is -14.23%. The performance for Year to Date ( YTD ) is 3.03%.


BP p. l.c. has earnings per share of $ -2.12 and the earnings per share growth for this year is -272.40%. The ROI is -5.20% and the return on equity for BP p. l.c. as stated earlier, is currently at -6.20%.The return on assets ( ROA ) for BP p. l.c. is -2.40%.


The earnings per share ( EPS ) is a direct measure of a company’s profit. EPS is calculated by subtracting dividends from profits and dividing it by the total number of shares outstanding.


The return on investment ( ROI ) is the money a company has made or lost on an investment – in simple terms.


The return on equity ( ROE ) measures the company’s profitability and the efficiency at which it is generating those profits. ROE is calculated by dividing the total profit by total amount of money invested in the company.


The return on assets ( ROA ) is a very useful indicator that illustrates how profitable a company really is in relation to its total assets. ROA is calculated by dividing the total annual earnings by the company’s total assets.


Dividends and Price Earnings Ratio


BP p. l.c. has a dividend yield of 7.61%. The price/earnings ratio (P/E) is *TBA and the forward P/E ratio stands at 11.15. The price to earnings growth is *TBA and the price to sales growth is 0.43.


The price/earnings ratio (P/E) is one of the best known investment valuation indicators. P/E is calculated by dividing the trailing 12 months’ earnings per share by the present share price. Typically, a high P/E ratio means that the investors are paying more for today’s earnings in hopes of future growth in earnings.


The forward price to earnings ratio, as the name suggests, is used to find the future price to earnings ratio. It is calculated by dividing the market price per share with the anticipated earnings per share.


The price to earnings growth ratio (PEG) is utilized for determining a stock’s value in relation to the company’s earnings. It helps to provide a more holistic picture with the P/E ratio. The PEG is calculated by dividing the price to earnings ratio by the annual earnings per share growth. The lower the PEG ratio, the more the stock is undervalued in relation to its earnings performance.


BP p. l.c. has a 52-week low of 17.23% and 52-week high of -22.79%. The company has a 20-day simple moving average of 7.16% and a volume of 7.16%. The average volume stands around 9539.45.


Volume is the amount of shares that trade hands – in simple terms.


The technical stats for BP p. l.c. are as follows.


BP p. l.c. has a simple moving average of 7.16% over the last 20 days. The simple moving average for the last 200 days stands at -3.44%. BP p. l.c. has a beta of 1.45 and the weekly and monthly volatility stands at 2.03% and 2.19% respectively.


A simple moving average (SMA) is calculated by adding the closing price of the stock for the given time periods, say for 20 days, and then dividing it by that time period - i. e 20. It usually helps to smooth out the ‘noise’ by filtering out random price movements. Since SMA is based on past data, it will tend to have a lag. The longer the time period the greater the lag. So a 20-day SMA will have less lag than the 200-day SMA. Shorter SMAs are used for short-term trading and vice versa.


Beta is used to measure the volatility of the stock. A beta of less than 1 means that it is less volatile than the market and a beta of greater than 1 means that it is more volatile than the market. A beta of 1 indicates that the stock will move with the market.


Volatility, in simple terms, is an indicator of how risky the stock is. It is the amount of uncertainty or riskabout the magnitude of changes in a stock’s value. Higher volatility means that a stock’s price can change radically in either direction in a very short period of time and lower volatility is just the opposite, as the price doesn’t change dramatically – instead it varies at a steady pace over a significantly longer period of time.


Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and information expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of any company stakeholders, financial professionals, or analysts. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized to make stock portfolio or financial decisions as they are based only on limited and open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of any analysts or financial professionals.


Stock Seeing Upward Momentum: BP p. l.c.( NYSE:BP )


Over the past month, shares of BP p. l.c. (NYSE:BP) have moved upward, providing investors with a good bump. Shares of the company have been up 5.20% for the past month. Over the past five trading days, shares are changed 2.55%. Year to date, the stock has performed 2.35%. With increased volatility in the markets, shareholders may be deciding whether now is a good time to take some profits.


Wall Street analysts are still seeing some upside to the stock despite the recent move. Sell-side firms, on a consensus basis have a 2.3 recommendation, according to First Call. The recommendation is based on a 1 to 5 scale where 1 or 2 indicates a Buy recommendation, 3 a Hold and 4-5 a Sell.


Performance BP p. l.c. (NYSE:BP) has posted trailing 12 months earnings of $-2.12 per share. The company has seen a change of -272.40% earnings per share this year. Analysts are predicting123.46% for the company next year. The firm is yielding -2.40% return on assets and -6.20% return on equity.


Technicals In taking a look at technical levels, shares are trading 6.11% away from the 50 day simple moving average and -4.39% away from the 200 day simple moving average. Based on a recent bid, the stock is trading -23.54% away from it’s 52- week high and 16.09% away from its 52 week low. After the recent increase, investors may also look to see if the stock has entered overbought territory and could possibly ripe for a pullback. Traditionally a stock is considered to be overbought when the Relative Strength Index moves above 70. As of writing, BP p. l.c.’s RSI stands at 59.34. In looking at volatility levels, the shares saw weekly volatility of 2.08% and 2.19% over the past month.


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S&P 500 Moving Average Analysis


The S&P 500 is currently trading above its 50-day moving average and below its 200-day moving average. The recent rally has also been one of the most impactful during the current bear market in regards to where the index is trading relative to both its 50- and 200-days.  As shown in the second chart below, the S&P 500 is now 7.85% above its 50-day moving average, which is the most overbought reading for the spread since the bear market began.  The index has also now traded above its 50-day for 11 days in a row, which is the longest streak since the 33-day period that ended last May.  And finally, the S&P 500's 200-day moving average spread is the highest it has been since the market really tanked last September.  If the index can eventually trade above both its 50-day and 200-day, it will be a big positive for technicians looking for signs that the bear is officially over.


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Thx Paul, just about 60days until we hit the 200


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W. P. Carey Breaks Above 200-Day Moving Average - Bullish for WPC


In trading on Friday, shares of W. P. Carey Inc (WPC ) crossed above their 200 day moving average of $59.74, changing hands as high as $59.75 per share. W. P. Carey Inc shares are currently trading up about 1.6% on the day. The chart below shows the one year performance of WPC shares, versus its 200 day moving average:


START SLIDESHOW : Click here to find out which 9 other dividend stocks recently crossed above their 200 day moving average »


Looking at the chart above, WPC's low point in its 52 week range is $51.12 per share, with $71.45 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $59.86.


According to the ETF Finder at ETF Channel, WPC makes up 3.10% of the SuperDividend REIT ETF (SRET ) which is trading up by about 1.3% on the day Friday.


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S&P, Dow and Nasdaq find support near 200 day moving averages


S&P, Dow and Nasdaq find support near 200 day moving averages. Cattle break after inventory report.


Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 1’03 lower at 149’24, 10 Yr. Notes 16 lower at 130’13.5 and 5 Yr. Notes 8.7 lower at 121’02.5. We remain short the 5 Yr. Notes and the June 2017 Eurodollar futures. I am still trying to spread up the short Eurodollars with the Sept. 2017 Futures at 99.44, currently at 99.49.


Grains: Mar. Corn is currently 4’6 higher at 374’4, Mar. Beans 11’0 higher at 970’4 and Mar. Wheat 7’2 higher at 500’0. I am still trading Beans from the long side on breaks below the 965’0 level. We continue to hold the short Mar. Corn 380’0 straddle (short the 380’0 put and call) and as a bit of a safety net long the 360’0/400’0 strangle.


Cattle: Apr. LC are currently 40 lower at 149’17 and May FC 162 lower at 200.00. Both of these markets broke to near limit levels yesterday in response to Friday’s afternoon Cattle Inventory Report which indicated the first increase in herd size in years. We have covered all short biased positions in Apr. LC established from the 151.75 area last week.


Silver: Mar. Silver is currently 8 cents higher at 17.32 and Apr. Gold 8.50 lower at 1268.00. We remain long Silver.


S&P's: Mar. S&P’s are currently 10.00 higher at 2027.00. Yesterday the S&P’s held the 200 day moving average of 1964.50, making a low of 1973.75. I will also note that the 200 day moving average was 17066 with a low of 17037 before rallying nearly 300 points. That being said resistance is currently the mid to low 2030’s an area where I am once again pursuing the short side of the market.


Currencies: As of this writing the Mar. Euro is 82 higher at 1.1432, the Swiss 41 higher at 1.0841, the Yen 27 lower at 0.8506 and the Pound 53 higher at 1.5084. We have been buyers on breaks in the Euro, Yen and Pound forv the last few weeks and I am recommending taking profits and standing aside in the Euro and Yen at current levels. I still like the long side of the Pound.


Mr. Nemenoff is a 37-year veteran of the futures industry. He describes his approach as 75% technical & 25% fundamental and is a firm believer in the use of option strategies as a way of using leverage and minimizing risk when one has a long-term market strategy.


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Futures and options trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee, or implication by or from The Price Futures Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited whatsoever. Los resultados anteriores no son indicativos de resultados futuros. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purpose and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted.


British Land Company PLC (BLND) Stock Rating Reaffirmed by Kempen & Co


Liberum Capital reissued their buy rating on shares of Howden Joinery Group Plc (LON:HWDN) in a report issued on Monday morning, Market Beat Ratings reports.


Several other analysts have also recently issued reports on the company. The stock was bought at an average cost of GBX 329 ($4.73) per share, for a total transaction of £312.55 ($449.65). Keras Resources PLC has a 1-year low of GBX 0.57 and a 1-year high of GBX 0.62. HSBC reaffirmed a "buy" rating and set a GBX 410 ($5.90) target price on shares of BP plc in a research report on Thursday, October 15th. The stock's 50-day moving average is GBX 0.00 and its 200-day moving average is GBX 0.00.


Separately, Beaufort Securities restated a speculative buy rating on shares of Keras Resources PLC in a report on Monday.


Out of 19 brokers covering Compass Group PLC, 7 rate it a Buy, 13 indicate a Hold while 5 suggest a Sell. BNP Paribas maintained the shares of ITRK in a report on February 1 with "Neutral" rating. Canaccord Genuity downgraded shares of Howden Joinery Group Plc to a hold rating and lowered their price objective for the company from GBX 555 ($7.98) to GBX 535 ($7.70) in a report on Wednesday, December 9th. Two investment analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, thirteen have issued a hold rating and nine have assigned a buy rating to the company's stock. The firm's market capitalization is GBX 64.56 billion. The 12-month mean target is GBX 1196.32, which means downside potential of 1.94% over the current price. ASOS plc are listed in the Consumer Services sector within AIM. A total of 5.07 million shares of the company's stock traded hands. The Company operates approximately 589 depots, which are around 10,000 square feet in size, in industrial locations.


Booker Group PLC is a United Kingdom-based food wholesaler. GPE's properties include Mount Royal, 35 Portman Square, Orchard Court, Walmar House, Wigmore Street Island Site and 33 Margaret Street in North of Oxford Street region; 6 Brook Street, Hanover Square Estate, Pollen House, Carrington House, Kingsland House and The Piccadilly Buildings in the rest of West End, and 200 Gray's Inn Road, 12/14 New Fetter Lane, 240 Blackfriars Road, City Place House, City Tower, Minerva House and New City Court in City, Midtown and Southwark.


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TBAR RBS Gold Trendpilot ETN


TBAR Fund Description


The RBS Gold Trendpilot ETN tracks the gold spot price when it is at or above its historical 200- day moving average for 5 consecutive business days, and 3-month Treasurys when it is not.


TBAR ETF. com Insight


This ETN has been called by the issuer. Its last day of trading was 7/6/15. TBAR is unlike any other fund in the segment in a number of ways. Firstly, it is one of just three ETNs in “ This ETN has been called by the issuer. Its last day of trading was 7/6/15. ” the Gold segment. More importantly, it is a very dynamic portfolio that uses technical analysis to determine when to invest in gold futures and when to invest in 3-month Treasurys. As such, it's not a gold fund in the way competing funds are; rather, it's a fund attempting to pick and choose the best-performing periods for the yellow metal. The cost of the strategy, which merely uses the 200-day moving average to determine exposure, is dependent on the amount of time it spends in each asset (and can be as high as 1.00%). Regardless of whether you believe in the strategy, it's an expensive way to get the exposure. That said, over the past 3 years the strategy has helped soften the blow of gold's selloff.


The degree to which the fund and its segment benchmark move up and down in unison.


The sensitivity of the returns of the fund to the movement of the ETF. com segment benchmark. Beta of 1.0 means magnitude of fund returns equals that of IU benchmark returns.


The comparison of a fund's return to our benchmark's for days when the benchmark is up. Ideally down beta is less than up beta while beta of 1.0 means they're equal.


The comparison of a fund's return to our benchmark's for days when the benchmark is down. Ideally down beta is less than up beta while beta of 1.0 means they're equal.


A measure of the variability between the fund's returns and the ETF. com segment benchmark returns on days when the fund underperforms the benchmark.


TBAR Roll Strategy


Since TBAR holds physical bullion rather than futures contracts, it does not have a roll strategy.


Targeted Commodities


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Advisor Perspectives welcomes guest contributions. The views presented here do not necessarily represent those of Advisor Perspectives.


Last week on TV, one of the pundits spoke about how far the S&P 500 Index rested above the 200 day moving average. Always willing to place present conditions into perspective, I thought some charts might assist us in determining our current levels and putting them in some historical context.


Based on some some quick calculations with data readily available from Yahoo Finance, the first chart simply shows the S&P 500 Index relative to the 200 day simple moving average. The chart reflects the percentage distance of the S&P from its 200 DMA.


The chart visually identifies areas that are rare, such as March of 2009, when the S&P 500 Index was nearly 40% below the 200 DMA. Also, one may see that the 200 DMA does not spend much time above or below 10% away from the index.


Let's reduce our timeframe to look at the shaded area starting in 1985.


A red bar on the chart designates the S&P Index at 8.9% above the 200 Day. The chart shows that the S&P spends a predominate amount of time below the 10% level.


Moving in just a bit closer – specifically afer Greenspan's reference to "irrational exuberance" – one may determine from the following chart the last 2 bubbles and the relationship to the 200 DMA.


The red bar again denotes the current level of the S&P above the 200 DMA to provide context for the rare times when the index moves that far from the 200 DMA.


The following chart actually places the S&P 500 index and 200 DMA over the previous chart to see if any information can be gleaned.


For anyone looking for timing entrances and exits, perhaps the above chart might help, but another thought occurred to me during my research. What about showing all the occurrences when the S&P was above the current level (8.9% above the 200 DMA) to see what happens afterward?


This next chart depicts in a shaded bar all the times the S&P 500 was above the current level against both the 50 day and 200 day moving averages since 1983.


The following chart shows the S&P 500 Index with the 200 DMA with the shaded bars.


Although the above chart begins in 1983, readers may see that the S&P can be above the 200 DMA for long periods of time. Most of the occurrences result in a pullback, but on a long-term horizon, those are hard to see.


The last chart shows the time period post "irrational exuberance" again, with the shaded bars against the S&P 500 Index and 200 DMA.


The blue arrows show definitive times when a pull-back occurred when the S&P traded this far above the 200 DMA (except the far right arrow, which is just my guess). Although the 2000 and 2007 tops had very few days at this same level, the symmetry deserves some recognition. Both occurrences resulted in the S&P 500 trading back to the 200 DMA (currently just over 1400) and chopping for months prior to the eventual selloff. For the current environment to follow the same course, we would see an initial pullback to the 200 DMA with possible multiple re-tests of the current level before sliding below the 200 DMA.


However, in light of "QE Infinity" I'd be reluctant to call a top here and place a bunch of short positions.


All good things must come to an end. That includes the S&P 500’s streak of closing above its 200-day simple moving average which ended yesterday after 477 days. While it wasn’t the Joe DiMaggio of all-time streaks, it was the 3rd longest in history – call it the Pete Rose of streaks. Only those ending in May 1956 (628 days) and August 1998 (525 days) went longer.


So besides a good bit of trivia, what is the significance of a long streak like this coming to an end? We took a look at other similar streaks in history to see what the aftermath was. Considering there have been only 2 streaks this long in history, we widened the net a bit to look at all streaks longer than 300 days. Since 1950, there have been 10 such streaks in the S&P 500 before the most recent one. These are the results following the culmination of the streaks.


While the sample size is small and does not lend itself to statistically significant conclusions, superficially the takeaways are pretty clear. The S&P 500 has consistently seen further selling in the few days following the end of the streak with just 2 of the previous 10 occurrences seeing a positive return 3 days later.


In the intermediate-term, the index tended to bounce. The sweet spot was out 3 months when 7 of the 10 saw positive returns with a median returns of 4.1%, well above the median after all days of 2.5%. Yet, that outperformance did not last as the median return a year later was just 1.8%, with 4 of the 10 showing losses a year out. Therefore, 4 of the 10 occasions that ended such long streaks essentially marked a significant market top, or initial top.


We will mention that 3 of the 4 instances showing 1-year losses occurred in the 1950’s and 1960’s. The significance of that fact isn’t merely that it was a long time ago. The more important point is that using the 200-day moving average was a much more effective tool back then. In recent years (or decades), use of the moving average has been less reliable. So it is with all forms of analysis once they become popular among the masses.


In summary, if the limited historical precedents marking the end of long S&P 500 streaks above its 200-day moving average are any guide, we can expect to see some further weakness over the next few days. By a few months out, however, stocks “should” be higher, though the sustainability of such a rally may be questionable.


More from Dana Lyons, JLFMI and My401kPro.


200 Day Moving Average (or 200DMA) is a popular 'weapon' found in every technical analyst's or a trader’s toolbox . And surprisingly, it is one of the very few technical analysis tools that are easily understood by those who don't respect technical analysis, i. e. even a fundamental analyst understands the importance of 200DMA


How To Calculate 200DMA


200DMA is calculated by taking arithmetic mean of all values in consideration (Stock prices, index levels) in last 200 trading sessions (40 weeks). 200DMA is generally used to assess long term trends. Another tool regularly used by traders to assess short term trends is 50DMA. Generally, a stock trading above its 200-day moving average is said to be in an uptrend and is being accumulated; one below it is in a downtrend and is being sold. ( Learn how to calculate CAGR )


200DMA & 3 Year Returns


To find out whether there is a correlation between Investing based on 200DMA and returns obtained over a period of 3 years, I analysed Nifty's data of last 20 years.


A comparison between 3 year CAGR and index’s distance from its 200DMA was made.


Correlation | Investing based on 200DMA & 3 Year Returns (CAGR)


The red portion indicates index’s level (+/-) from its 200DMA. For example, in region marked P, index was trading at level which was 20% lower than its 200DMA. The green portion indicates returns over a 3 year period on CAGR basis.


A few observations from above graph are –


Regions marked A, B, C, D & E had Nifty trading at level 20% (+) above its 200DMA. And as green graph shows, returns obtained in all 5 regions have been negative. As of now, discussion on region F is being left out intentionally.


Possible Reason: Chances of your investments earning a negative return are more if you invest at times when index is trading at a premium of 20% or more to its 200DMA.


In regions marked P, Q, R, S and T, Nifty has been trading at level 20% (-) below its 200DMA. And as green graph shows, returns obtained in all 5 regions have been positive.


Possible Reason: Chances of your investments earning a positive return are more if you invest at times when index is trading at a discount of 20% or more to its 200DMA.


It is assumed here that investor is investing in index as a whole using an index fund or something similar. Similar graph drawn for individual stocks may show different results depending on sector's business cycles.


Region F (i. e. Year 2000-2004) is an outlier in this analysis as during this period, India was in long term secular bull market and as evident from graph, relation between 3Y-CAGR and distance of index from its 200DMA is not evident. Returns continue to be positive even though distance from 200DMA oscillates between positive and negative.


This small but interesting analysis shows that though 200DMA is generally used by traders, it can be a handy tool in hands of a long term investor as well. On broad levels, it actually helps investors understand the general direction of overall markets.


It is therefore advisable that one should always have a look at a stock’s 200DMA before investing in it.


You can read a similar analysis where 5 year returns were investigated for having a correlation with investments based on moving averages.


Meb Faber Research


Paul Tudor Jones on the 200-Day Moving Average


I mentioned the new Tony Robbins book out “Money: Master the Game ” in our prior post “The All Seasons Portfolio “. I think it is a good book, especially for the newbie wondering what to do with their money. It is really long, but market pros could probably skip to the last 25% of the book for the interviews, and honestly the Paul Tudor Jones one made the entire book worthwhile. I would buy it for that alone. As you know I’ve always been a trend guy, and Paul talks quite a bit about trends below. (Likely I will update our 2006 trendfollowing paper again in January .)


While I would like to post the entire interview here, a few highlights are below (TR=Tony Robbins, PTJ= Paul Tudor Jones)


PTJ: So the turtle wins the race, right? I think the single most important things that you can do is diversify your portfolio. Diversification is key, playing defense is key, and, again, just staying in the game for as long as you can.


TR: Following up on diversification, how do you think about asset allocation in terms of playing defense?


PTJ: There’s never going to be a time where you can say with certainty that this is the mix I should have for the next five or ten years. The world changes so fast. If you go and look right now, the valuations of both stocks and bonds in the US are both ridiculously overvalued. And cash is worthless, so what do you do with your money? Well, there’s a time when to hold em and a time when to fold em. You’re not going to necessarily always be in situation to make a lot of money, where the opportunities are great.


TR: Okay, any specific strategies for protecting your portfolio?


PTJ: I teach an undergrad class at the University of Virginia, and I tell my students, “I’m going to save you from going to business school. Here, you’re getting a $100k class, and I’m going to give it to you in two thoughts, okay? You don’t need to go to business school; you’ve only got to remember two things. The first is, you always want to be with whatever the predomianat trend is.


TR: So my next question is, how do you determine the trend?


PFJ: My metric for everything I look at is the 200-day moving average of closing prices. I’ve seen too many things go to zero, stocks and commodities. The whole trick in investing is: “How do I keep from losing everything?” If you use the 200-day moving average rule, then you get out. You play defense, and you get out.


TR: That is considered one of the top three trades of all time, in all history (1987 Crash)! Did your theory about the 200-day moving average alert you to that one?


PTJ: You got it. It had done under the 200-day moving target. At the very top of the crash, I was flat.


TR: What’s the second thought for students?


PTJ: 5:1 (risk /reward). Five to one means I’m risking one dollar to make five. What five to one does is allow you to have a hit ratio of 20%. I can actually be a complete imbecile. I can be wrong 80% of the time, and I’m still not going to lose.


TR: Since asset allocation is so important, let me ask you: If you couldn’t pass on any of your money to your kids but only a specific portfolio and a set of principles to guide them, what would it be?


PTJ: I get very nervous about the retail investor, the average investor, because it’s really, really hard. If this was easy, if there was one formula, one way to do it, we’d all be zillionaires. One principle for sure would get out of anything that falls below the 200-day moving average.


There you have it folks – trendfollowing advice from one of the greatest traders of all time…


Lots more great stuff in the interview on giving back, charity, kindness, etc….Money: Master the Game is worth a read!


In a follow on post we will examine the two allocations in the book, David Swensen vs. Ray Dalio….


Chart of the Day – The 200 Day Moving Average


7:26 am EDT - June 4, 2012 By Enis


In case you haven’t noticed, I like to look at metrics, indicators, and charts that are not as widely watched by other market participants. Like my post on Spain last week. today I am going to make an exception. The 200-day moving average in the S&P 500 is one of the most watched technical levels in all markets across the world, so I wanted to give my interpretation of Friday’s breach of that level.


Here’s the chart of the S&P 500 since the March 2009 lows, plotted with the 200 day moving average:


During this 3 year bull run, there have been 3 extended periods where the index stayed cleanly above the 200 day MA. The first lasted from Jul 2009 to May 2010, a 10 month period at the end of which the market was up by more than 200 points (from 878 to 1095) when the index touched the 200 day MA again (on the flash crash day). The second period was from Sept 2010 to June 2011, a 9 month period at the end of which the market was up by almost 150 points (1116 to 1258) when the index touched the 200 day MA again. The final period ended on Friday, and lasted from Jan 2012 to Jun 2012, a 5 month period at the end of which the market was up a mere 25 points (1259 to 1284) when the index touched the 200 day MA again.


My main point in showing this chart is to illustrate how the index is losing strength in both duration and height of move during each subsequent bull run. Perhaps more importantly, this trend has been even more exaggerated for other global markets (whether Europe, China, or other emerging markets), where the 200 day moving average for all of those markets is now firmly downward sloping. This year, most of those markets only stayed above the 200 day MA for 2-3 months before moving below it in April or May.


I am not the type of trader who subscribes to hard and fast rules around trading lines or levels (like the 200 day MA). But I do pay attention to the gradual, broader shifts that those levels can indicate. In the case of the 200 day MA, I see a market that is offering fewer and fewer gains to the bulls on each bull run, and Friday’s breach is just further confirmation to me that the bulls are the weak hands in this market right now.


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About Enis


Global Macro Editor: Enis focuses on incorporating top-down macro and technical analysis with option market anomalies to develop favorable risk-reward trade structures. He is a CNBC contributor having appeared on Fast Money, Halftime Report, Talking Numbers and Options Acton.


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SPDR S&P 500 Value Breaks Below 200-Day Moving Average - Notable for SPYV


In trading on Monday, shares of the SPDR S&P 500 Value ETF (SPYV ) crossed below their 200 day moving average of $100.62, changing hands as low as $99.95 per share. SPDR S&P 500 Value shares are currently trading down about 1.7% on the day. The chart below shows the one year performance of SPYV shares, versus its 200 day moving average:


START SLIDESHOW : Click here to find out which 9 other ETFs recently crossed below their 200 day moving average »


Looking at the chart above, SPYV's low point in its 52 week range is $90.74 per share, with $103.86 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $100.00.


David Peltier identifica las mejores acciones de dividendo de raza que pagarán un flujo de ingresos confiable y significativo.


Características del producto:


Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks


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S&P 500 200-Day Moving Average Is Pointing Lower, What’s Next?


Today’s post is from my good friend Ryan Detrick. He had some unique thoughts and stats on the 200-day moving average, Thank You Ryan for your contributions!


We hear a lot about the S&P 500 and its 200-day moving average. It is trading above or below this long-term trendline? I’ve long said what matters more is the overall trend of the 200-day moving average. With that, as of August 21, the 200-day moving average for the S&P 500 has started to point lower. In other words, is the bigger trend now lower? Trend followers would probably make that argument. So I decided to take a closer look.


Here’s a chart going back to 1928. Again, the 200-day moving average is officially pointing lower and has been for nearly three weeks.


CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE


The 200-day moving average had been trending higher for an incredible 870 days. The streak started clear back in March 2012 and was the second longest streak of a higher trending 200-day moving average ever. I wondered what happened after long streaks ended. Starting in ’28, there were seven previous times the 200-day moving average was pointing higher for more than 500 days. As you can see below, the returns after are very poor. Down 8% on average a year later and flat two years later are very weak returns. Even going clear out five years, the average gain is only 16%. Considering the average return with dividends is about 10% a year, this could suggest very weak returns going out several years.


CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE


Next I broke things down several different ways. I was surprised that above (or below) the 200-day moving average produced more (or worse) results than the way the 200-day was trending. I always thought the trend mattered more, guess just being above or below is more important. Lastly, I looked at what happened when the S&P 500 was above (or below) the 200-day moving average and it was trending higher (or lower). What is worth noting here is the returns when it is both below the 200-day moving average and the trendline is pointing lower, the returns are pretty poor. This is what is happening now, a lower 200-day moving average and beneath the long term trendline. Also this scenario produces the largest standard deviation. So wild moves are the norm. ¿Suena familiar?


CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE


The results above are clearly a concern, but it doesn’t mean the end of the world is near either. Sure, the worst bear markets take place when the 200-day is pointing lower and price is beneath that trendline also, but that doesn’t mean things have to crash here. Be on alert, but also consider the fact that the past 12 months the S&P 500 is exactly flat. Price very well could simply be correcting through time versus price. After all, the Dow is up six years in a row. Going back 115 years, it was green seven straight years only once and that was during the ’90s.


If one of your investment goals is to stay on top of long-term trends, you might find out Global Dashboards report of interest, because that is the goal of this weekly report (find trends and ride them and trade the markets few times). To find out more details on the Global Dashboards weekly report click HERE


Lighthouse Investment Management


S&P 500 at the 200-day moving average


Interesting technical constellation for the S&P 500 index. Today’s intra-day low (1,258.07) almost touched the 200-day moving average (1,257.90). The exponential 200-day moving average (1,262.85) was breached (but not on a closing basis). Tomorrow, Friday June 17th, is a big option expiration day, so anything is possible. However, the 200-day moving average will not fall easily and I would expect some “fighting” over it. Also, the March lows (1,250) should provide some short-term support.


Market breadth as measured by the Nasdaq Advance-Decline line does not suggest an end to the down trend:


Cyclical sectors (i. e. consumer discretionary stocks, XLY) continue to underperform defensive sectors (i. e. consumer staples, XLP):


Volatility has risen markedly, and could rise even more:


Worth mentioning the dramatic sell-off in high yield (HYG) and junk-rated (JNK) corporate bonds today – look at the volume:


Since end of May yields have gone up to 7.91% (7.71%) for high-yield and to 8.46% (8.29%) for junk-rated bonds. Yields of long-term treasury bonds, on the other hand, have declined to 4.21% (from 4.24%).


Finally, the internet bubble 2.0 seems to have popped; recent IPO’s Linked-In (LNKD), RenRen (RENN) or Pandora (P) have had spectacular declines:


Some market commentators point towards the bearish sentiment among investors as a sign of an approaching bottom; it should be pointed out that sentiment was terrible before the Lehman bankruptcy – and the worst was still to come:


Future news-flow could remain negative with Greece quickly deteriorating and further economic weakness in the US.


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Best Solar Stocks To Buy Right Now


[ June 17, 2017 | Author: Admin | Weather: | Mood: normal]


Long time Foolish followers know that I have been a believer in SunPower (NASDAQ: SPWR ) since long before the stock became one of the hottest on the market. The company’s recent swing into an adjusted profit and guidance of a likely GAAP profit this year have only bolstered that opinion, and the market has responded by sending the stock up fivefold in the past six months.


But for every bull there’s a bear, and since we should always value seeing the other side of a stock, I scoured our Foolish ranks to find someone who could make a solid case for being negative on the stock. Today, Matt DiLallo and I will debate the merits of SunPower in hopes of presenting both sides of this solar stock.


Matt DiLallo: The bear case for SunPower I must be upfront: I’ve been burned by solar in the past. So far, all three of my attempts to invest in the industry have gone up in smoke. While I see the industry’s bright promise, that glowing allure has yet to lead into solid long-term returns for investors.


Best Solar Stocks To Buy Right Now: Hoku Corporation(HOKU)


Hoku Corporation operates as a solar energy products and services company primarily in the United States. It focuses on manufacturing polysilicon, a primary material used in the manufacture of photovoltaic (PV) modules; and designing, engineering, and installing turnkey PV systems and related services in Hawaii using solar modules purchased from third-party suppliers. The company was formerly known as Hoku Scientific, Inc. and changed its name to Hoku Corporation in March 2010. Hoku Corporation was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.


Advisors’ Opinion:


[By Chuck]


Hoku Corp.(NASDAQ: HOKU) closing price in the stock market Tuesday, Jan. 3, was $0.5501. HOKU is trading -32.79% below its 50 day moving average and -61.84% below its 200 day moving average. HOKU is -80.90% below its 52-week high of $3.24 and 10.02% above its 52-week low of $0.50. HOKU‘s PE ratio is N/A and its market cap is $30.21M.


Hoku Corp. operates as a solar energy products and services company primarily in the United States. HOKU focuses on manufacturing polysilicon, a primary material used in the manufacture of photovoltaic (PV) modules; and designing, engineering, and installing turnkey PV systems and related services in Hawaii using solar modules purchased from third-party suppliers.


Best Solar Stocks To Buy Right Now: LDK Solar Co. Ltd.(LDK)


LDK Solar Co. Ltd. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of photovoltaic (PV) products; and development of power plant projects. It offers solar-grade and semiconductor-grade polysilicon; and multicrystalline and monocrystalline solar wafers to the manufacturers of solar cells and solar modules. The company also provides wafer processing services to monocrystalline and multicrystalline solar cell and module manufacturers; and sells silicon materials, such as ingots and polysilicon scraps. In addition, it engages in the production and sale of solar cells and modules to developers, distributors, and system integrators; and design and development of solar power projects in Europe, the United States, and China, as well as provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. LDK Solar Co. Ltd. operates in Europe, the Asia Pacific, and North America. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Xinyu City, t he People? s Republic of China.


Advisors’ Opinion:


[By Paul]


LDK Solar Co. Inc.(NYSE: LDK) closing price in the stock market Tuesday, Jan. 3, was $4.38. LDK is trading 9.48% above its 50 day moving average and -11.82% below its 200 day moving average. LDK is -70.74% below its 52-week high of $14.97 and 71.76% above its 52-week low of $2.55. LDK‘s PE ratio is 6.53 and its market cap is $573.78M.


LDK Solar Co. Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of photovoltaic (PV) products; and development of power plant projects together with its subsidiaries. LDK offers solar-grade and semiconductor-grade polysilicon; and multicrystalline and monocrystalline solar wafers to the manufacturers of solar cells and solar modules.


LDK Solar (LDK) is one of the largest solar companies, but it has a balance sheet that concerns me. According to Yahoo Finance, LDK has a debt load of over $3.5 billion and with the industry still struggling, that is too much risk for my tastes. The company expanded aggressively in the past few years, but that expansion now looks poorly timed. When the stock was trading below $4, I thought it made sense to do some bottom-fishing, but the shares have more than doubled from the 52 week low, and look vulnerable at these levels.


Best Performing Stocks To Watch For 2017. EMCORE Corporation(EMKR )


EMCORE Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides compound semiconductor-based products for the broadband, fiber optics, satellite, and solar power markets. The company operates in two segments, Fiber Optics and Photovoltaics. The Fiber Optics segment offers broadband products, including cable television, fiber-to-the-premises, satellite communication, video transport, and defense and homeland security products; and digital products comprising telecom optical, enterprise, laser/photodetector component, parallel optical transceiver and cable, and fiber channel transceiver products. This segment? s products enable information that is encoded on light signals to be transmitted, routed, and received in communication systems and networks. The Photovoltaics segment provides gallium arsenide (GaAs) multi-junction solar cells, covered interconnected cells, and solar panels for satellite applications; and concentrating photovoltaic (CPV) power systems for commercial and u tility scale solar applications, as well as GaAs solar cells and integrated CPV components for use in other solar power concentrator systems. The company markets its products through its direct sales force, external sales representatives and distributors, and application engineers worldwide. EMCORE Corporation was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico.


Advisors’ Opinion:


[By Bill]


EMCORE Corp.(NASDAQ: EMKR) closing price in the stock market Tuesday, Jan. 3, was $0.951. EMKR is trading 2.16% above its 50 day moving average and -39.24% below its 200 day moving average. EMKR is -70.74% below its 52-week high of $3.25 and 15.98% above its 52-week low of $0.82. EMKR‘s PE ratio is N/A and its market cap is $89.46M .


EMCORE Corp. provides compound semiconductor-based products for the broadband, fiber optics, space, and solar power markets. The company operates in two segments, Fiber Optics and Photovoltaics.


Best Solar Stocks To Buy Right Now: JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd.(JASO)


JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd. through its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of photovoltaic solar cells and solar products, which convert sunlight into electricity in the People’s Republic of China. The company? s principal products include monocrystalline and multicrystalline solar cells, as well as various solar modules. It also provides silicon wafer and solar cell processing services. The company sells its products primarily under the JA Solar brand name, as well as produces equipment for original equipment manufacturing customers under their brand names. It sells its solar cell and module products primarily to module manufacturers, system integrators, project developers, and distributors in the Germany, Italy, the United States, Hong Kong, Spain, India, the Czech Republic, France, and South Korea. The company has strategic partnerships with various solar power companies, such as BP Solar, Solar-Fabrik, and MEMC/SunEdison. JA Solar H oldings Co. Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is based in Shanghai, the People? s Republic of China.


Advisors’ Opinion:


[By Cutler]


JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd.(NASDAQ: JASO) closing price in the stock market Tuesday, Jan. 3, was $1.37. JASO is trading -10.95% below its 50 day moving average and -54.27% below its 200 day moving average. JASO is -84.01% below its 52-week high of $8.57 and 13.22% above its 52-week low of $1.21. JASO‘s PE ratio is 2.09 and its market cap is $225.58M.


JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of photovoltaic solar cells and solar products, which convert sunlight into electricity in the People’s Republic of China through its subsidiaries.


Top 10 Solar Stocks To Own Right Now


Top Machinery Stocks To Own For 2017


Top 5 Machinery Companies To Own For 2017


Sept. S&P 500 Below 200 Day Moving Average, Eyes 875


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Plenty of folks in the financial blogosphere and media have discussed the S&P 500’s current streak above its 200-day moving average. We thought we’d add our name and unique charting touch to the discussion, including a historical look at the implication of such streaks on future performance. We have also included the S&P 500’s streaks above its 500-day moving average in the chart (MA’s are “Simple”).


As noted on the chart, as of yesterday, the $SPX has been above its 500-day MA for 653 consecutive days, the 7th longest such streak since 1950. Meanwhile, it has been above its 200-day MA for 410 days, the 3rd longest in history. Only the mid-50’s and late-90’s saw longer streaks.


So what use is this to traders now? Probably not much, except as another confirmation of the market’s recent strength and notch in the belt of trend-following strategies. When these streaks end, however, is perhaps when the most value can be gleaned from them.


So what can one expect when these streaks end? If history can be a guide, let’s look at what the market did at the culmination of previous streaks. The 6 previous 500-day MA streaks were an interesting lot:


2 of them (ending in 1957 and 1994) occurred during the meat of secular bull markets. After the streaks ended, the market digested the gains (primarily sideways) for several months before continuing on to another monster up-leg.


1 ended just prior to the 1987 crash, leading to huge short-term losses but big gains in the longer-term.


1 ended in January of 2008, marking the end of the cyclical rally from 2002 and the onset of the financial crisis that brought huge losses.


The last 2 (ending in 1966 and 2000) marked the end of secular bull markets and the top for the next decade-plus.


Numbers-wise, the market fared poorly following the end of these 500-day MA streaks, in addition to the fact that 2 of them marked the end of secular bulls. One year later, 4 of the 6 showed losses averaging -7%. Even 4 years after the end of the streaks, 3 of the 6 had negative returns.


As for the 200-day MA streaks, not many conclusions can be drawn from just 2 examples. However, like the first 2 examples in the 500-day MA streaks above, the 2 200-day MA streaks (ending in 1956 and 1998) that lasted as long as the current one came during secular bull markets and eventually led to further big gains. If we expand the sample to include streaks of up to 300 days, we get 8 more occurrences. 5 of them occurred in the 1950’s-60’s, 1 ended in 1983, 3 in the 1990’s and 1 ending in 2004.


Numbers-wise, stocks struggled some in the shorter-term. Half of the 10 saw losses 6 months out, with an overall average return of 2%. Even a year later, 4 of the 10 resulted in the market being down. However, by 2 years after the end of the streaks, 9 of the 10 saw positive returns, averaging +25%.


So what is the takeaway from these streaks? First, let the streak run its course, then reevaluate. After the 200-day moving average streak ends (which obviously will come first), several months of consolidation, at least, can be expected. However, judging by history, longer-term gains may well be in the cards. After the 500-day MA streak ends, however, things may be a little more serious. At the least, the 6-month to 1-year consolidation period may be more difficult than after the end of the 200-day MA streak. At the worst, it may mark the end of this cyclical bull market.


Perhaps the best thing to hope for once the 200-day MA breaks is for the S&P 500 to digest its gains in a sideways fashion such that it remains above the 500-day MA, giving it hope for a further major advance.


April Gold settles 1220.4 down $10.40 for the week of February 22nd through February 26 th


Gold futures fell into negative territory for the week Friday, as a risk on vibe returned to the markets. Stocks rose this week and crude oil and the energy sector overall stabilized over a potential deal that would freeze oil output from Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations. Gold traded up to a weekly high at 1254.3 before selling reemerged in the market that was brought upon after comments from Fed Officials were seen as dovish. There were also jitters from the Euro Zone as there are whispers that Britain could be leaving the Euro Zone. In fact there will be a vote on whether the Brits leave the Euro Zone June 23 rd in Parliament which would have a major effect on trade and tariffs. More importantly if the measure is approved it could ignite fears of a domino effect down the road of other nations leaving. Regardless the currency fears in the EU prompted a bid in the Greenback late in the week that helped do in Gold from testing the weekly highs above 1250.0.


Despite Friday's losses, gold has rediscovered its role as a shelter for risk-averse investors. Assets of the largest Gold ETF held steady late in the week after rising to their highest since March 2017 on Wednesday. Gold funds accumulated their largest inflows since 2009 in the last week as financial market turmoil continued to unnerve investors, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said. April Gold futures prices are close to developing a bullish technical formation called the 'golden cross,' where the 50-day moving average goes above the 200-day moving average. The 200 day moving average currently sits at 1133.2 and the 50 sits at 1129.1. This could potentially be something worth watching if we see it cross.


Next week’s economic data includes the Institute for Supply Management as they their manufacturing survey on Tuesday and service-sector survey on Thursday. Other data next week include the ADP report on private-sector jobs growth and the Federal Reserve’s “Beige Book” report Wednesday, then weekly jobless claims, productivity, unit-labor costs and factory orders on Thursday. The most important data point though is the nonfarm payrolls report is due out Friday. Those looking for some bullish exposure in the market may consider the following trade. I would consider buying the September Silver 16.00 call while selling two September 1750 calls for negative 7 cents as a one by two ratio call spread. In cash value one would collect $350.00 per spread minus commissions and fees.


For those interested in grains, Walsh Trading’s Senior Grain analyst Tim Hannagan hosts a free grain webinar each Thursday at 3:00 PM central time. Tim has been ranked the #1 grain analyst in the United States per Reuters and Bloomberg for his most accurate price predictions for soybeans and corn in the years 2011 and 2012. Link for next week’s webinar is below. If you cannot attend live, a recording will be sent to your email upon signup. Or please contact me at anytime at 888 391 7894 or slusk@walshtrading. com


Weekly Swing #s GCJ 16 for the week of February 29th through March 4th


Rick Ackerman and Technicals – Thu 12 Nov, 2017


On November 12, 2017 at 4:02 pm, Excelsior says:


From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia


Baltic Dry Index 1985–2017


The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is an economic indicator issued daily by the London-based Baltic Exchange. Not restricted to Baltic Sea countries, the index provides “an assessment of the price of moving the major raw materials by sea. Taking in 23 shipping routes measured on a timecharter basis, the index covers Handysize, Supramax, Panamax, and Capesize dry bulk carriers carrying a range of commodities including coal, iron ore and grain.”[1]


Historical origin[edit] In 1744, the Virginia and Maryland coffee house in Threadneedle Street, London, changed its name to Virginia and Baltick, to more accurately describe the business interests of the merchants who gathered there. Today’s Baltic Exchange has its roots in a committee of merchants formed in 1823 to regulate trading and formalize the exchange of securities on the premises, which by then had moved to the Antwerp Tavern.[2] The first daily freight index was published by the Baltic Exchange in January 1985.


Every working day, a panel of international shipbrokers submits their view of current freight cost on various routes to the Baltic Exchange. The routes are meant to be representative, i. e. large enough in volume to matter for the overall market.


These rate assessments are then weighted together to create both the overall BDI and the size specific Supramax, Panamax, and Capesize indices. The BDI factors in the four different sizes of oceangoing dry bulk transport vessels:[3]


The BDI contains route assessments based only on time-charter hire rates “USD paid per day per Metric Ton”. Fuel (=”Bunkers”) is the largest voyage dependent cost and moves with the crude oil price. In periods where bunker costs fluctuate significantly, the BDI will move more than the shipowners’ realised earnings. The index can be accessed on a subscription basis directly from the Baltic Exchange as well as from major financial information and news services such as Macrobond Financial, Thomson Reuters and Bloomberg L. P..


Most directly, the index measures the demand for shipping capacity versus the supply of dry bulk carriers. The demand for shipping varies with the amount of cargo that is being traded or moved in various markets (supply and demand).


The supply of cargo ships is generally both tight and inelastic—it takes two years to build a new ship, and the cost of laying up a ship is too high to take out of trade for short intervals,[6] the way you might park a car safely over the winter. So, marginal increases in demand can push the index higher quickly, and marginal demand decreases can cause the index to fall rapidly. p. ej. “if you have 100 ships competing for 99 cargoes, rates go down, whereas if you’ve 99 ships competing for 100 cargoes, rates go up. In other words, small fleet changes and logistical matters can crash rates…”[7] The index indirectly measures global supply and demand for the commodities shipped aboard dry bulk carriers, such as building materials, coal, metallic ores, and grains.


Because dry bulk primarily consists of materials that function as raw material inputs to the production of intermediate or finished goods, such as concrete, electricity, steel, and food; the index is also seen as an efficient economic indicator of future economic growth and production. The BDI is termed a leading economic indicator because it predicts future economic activity.[8]


Another index, the HARPEX,[9] focuses on containers freight. It provides an insight on the transport of a much wider base of commercial goods than commodities alone. HARPEX is regarded as a Current-Activity Indicator, because it measures and charts the changes in freight rates for ‘container ships.’ Container ships typically carry a wide variety of finished goods from a multitude of sellers. These are factory output goods headed for retail markets, at the other end of the supply chain.[10] Other leading economic indicators—which serve as the foundation of important political and economic decisions—are often measured to serve narrow interests, and subjected to adjustments or revisions. Payroll or employment numbers are often estimates; consumer confidence appears to measure nothing more than sentiment, often with no link to actual consumer behavior; gross national product figures are consistently revised, and so forth. Unlike stock and bond markets, the BDI “is totally devoid of speculative content,” says Howard Simons, an economist and columnist at TheStreet. com. “People don’t book freighters unless they have cargo to move.”[11]


On 20 May 2008, the index reached its record high level since its introduction in 1985, reaching 11,793 points. Half a year later, on 5 December 2008, the index had dropped by 94%, to 663 points, the lowest since 1986;[12] though by 4 February 2009 it had recovered a little lost ground, back to 1,316.[13] These low rates moved dangerously close to the combined operating costs of vessels, fuel, and crews.[14][15]


By the end of 2008, shipping times had been already increased by reduced speeds to save fuel consumption, but lack of credit meant the reduction of letters of credit, historically required to load cargoes for departure at ports. Debt load of future ship construction was also a problem for shipping companies, with several major bankruptcies and implications for shipyards.[16][17] This, combined with the collapsing price of raw commodities created a perfect storm for the world’s marine commerce.


During 2009, the index recovered as high as 4661, but then bottomed out at 1043 in February, 2011, after continued deliveries of new ships and flooding in Australia.[18] Though rebounding to 2000 on 7 October,[19] by 3 February 2012, the index made a new multi-decade low of 647 on a continued glut of dry bulk carriers and decreases in orders of iron and coal.[20]


On 18 February 2017 the Baltic Dry Index reached the historic low of 509.[21]


On November 12, 2017 at 2:35 pm, Ebolan says:


Nomura Reiterates “Neutral” Rating for BP plc (BP)


BP plc (LON:BP)‘s stock had its “neutral” rating reiterated by analysts at Nomura in a research report issued to clients and investors on Friday, MarketBeat. Com reports. They currently have a GBX 350 ($5.01) target price on the oil and gas exploration company’s stock. Nomura’s price target suggests a potential downside of 2.67% from the stock’s previous close.


BP plc (LON:BP) opened at 359.60 on Friday. BP plc has a 12 month low of GBX 309.10 and a 12 month high of GBX 487.50. The firm’s market capitalization is GBX 66.21 billion. The company has a 50 day moving average price of GBX 348.05 and a 200 day moving average price of GBX 356.43.


In other news, insider Gilvary, Brian acquired 95 shares of BP plc stock in a transaction on Wednesday, February 10th. The stock was acquired at an average cost of GBX 334 ($4.78) per share, with a total value of £317.30 ($454.00).


A number of other research firms have also recently issued reports on BP. Sanford C. Bernstein reissued an “outperform” rating and set a GBX 420 ($6.01) target price on shares of BP plc in a research note on Thursday, January 28th. Barclays lowered their price objective on shares of BP plc from GBX 600 ($8.58) to GBX 550 ($7.87) and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research report on Tuesday, March 1st. Grupo Santander reiterated a “hold” rating and set a GBX 420 ($6.01) price objective on shares of BP plc in a research report on Tuesday, November 24th. Societe Generale reissued a “buy” rating and issued a GBX 375 ($5.37) price objective on shares of BP plc in a research note on Wednesday, February 3rd. Finally, Jefferies Group restated a “hold” rating and issued a GBX 340 ($4.86) target price on shares of BP plc in a research report on Wednesday, February 3rd. Three analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, thirteen have issued a hold rating and nine have given a buy rating to the company. The company currently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of GBX 390.08 ($5.58).


BP p. l.c. (LON:BP) is an integrated oil and gas company. The Company provides its customers with fuel for transportation, energy for heat and light, lubricants and the petrochemicals products used to make everyday items, including paints, clothes and packaging. document. write(‘ ‘);


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S&P/ASX 200 Index 50 Day Moving Average +/- Change %


While it may look like difficult market to trade with the whipsaws almost every day lately, it’s still at very low levels compared to what we saw even in late 2011. В Below is a chart showing the average daily +/- (absolute) percentage change of the S&P ASX 200 index over a 50-day rolling basis going back to 2002.


The last reading as 26 Jun 2012 is about 0.75. after peaking at 1.12 at 4 Jan 2012. The reading was at highest level in the first week of Dec 2008. with values above 2.8. Even during October 2011. the value above 1.5 levels.


S&P ASX 200 50 day Avg +/- Change % Volatility Chart


S&P/ASX 200 Index 50 Day Moving Average Range %


Another way to look at volatility express the daily range as a percentage of the average of high and low. es decir


Below is a chart showing the average range percentage of the S&P ASX 200 index over a 50-day rolling basis going back to 2002. The last reading is at 1.04. which is well below the readings that we saw first week of Oct 2011. at above 1.8 levels.


S&P ASX 200 Index 50 day Avg daily range %


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Risk trade pauses at 200-day moving average in S&P


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Founded in 2008, ForexLive. com is the premier forex trading news site offering interesting commentary, opinion and analysis for true FX trading professionals. Obtenga las últimas noticias de cambio de divisas y las actualizaciones actuales de los comerciantes activos diariamente. ForexLive. com blog posts feature leading edge technical analysis charting tips, forex analysis, and currency pair trading tutorials. Descubra cómo aprovechar las oscilaciones en los mercados de divisas globales y ver nuestro análisis de noticias de divisas en tiempo real y las reacciones a las noticias del banco central, los indicadores económicos y los eventos mundiales.


2017 - Live Analytics Inc v.0.8.116(s)


ALTO RIESGO ADVERTENCIA: El comercio de divisas conlleva un alto nivel de riesgo que puede no ser adecuado para todos los inversores. El apalancamiento crea un riesgo adicional y una exposición de pérdidas. Antes de decidir intercambiar divisas, considere cuidadosamente sus objetivos de inversión, su nivel de experiencia y su tolerancia al riesgo. Usted podría perder parte o la totalidad de su inversión inicial; No invierta dinero que no puede permitirse perder. Infórmese sobre los riesgos asociados con el comercio de divisas y busque asesoramiento de un asesor financiero o fiscal independiente si tiene alguna pregunta.


ADVISORY WARNING: FOREXLIVE™ provides references and links to selected blogs and other sources of economic and market information as an educational service to its clients and prospects and does not endorse the opinions or recommendations of the blogs or other sources of information. Clients and prospects are advised to carefully consider the opinions and analysis offered in the blogs or other information sources in the context of the client or prospect's individual analysis and decision making. Ninguno de los blogs u otras fuentes de información debe considerarse como un historial. Past performance is no guarantee of future results and FOREXLIVE™ specifically advises clients and prospects to carefully review all claims and representations made by advisors, bloggers, money managers and system vendors before investing any funds or opening an account with any Forex dealer. Cualquier noticia, opinión, investigación, datos u otra información contenida en este sitio web se proporciona como comentario general del mercado y no constituye asesoramiento de inversión o comercialización. FOREXLIVE™ expressly disclaims any liability for any lost principal or profits without limitation which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Al igual que con todos estos servicios de asesoramiento, los resultados anteriores nunca son una garantía de resultados futuros.


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